TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$334,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd684…f320backed Yes33c74,653$24,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,059.974045%18 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed No0c18,221$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.28520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No68c8,009$5,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,451.2922745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9747…961ebacked No67c7,792$5,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,220.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No24c6,440$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.491,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No67c6,400$4,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2886347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c4,995$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.6352550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No67c4,800$3,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2164548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c3,464$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.771,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c3,100$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,10810521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No12c3,000$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.191729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No67c2,800$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8765151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes29c2,745$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.062138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No67c2,400$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6085151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No71c2,382$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.5313348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c2,382$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.8229637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No80c2,371$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.4910938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No67c2,368$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.562944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c2,198$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.0662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes22c2,130$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.367227.8%20 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3403250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No67c1,840$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.83948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes13c1,771$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.5848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No67c1,637$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.792437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No67c1,600$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0725251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No67c1,600$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0724854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf845…a493backed Yes29c1,600$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1291100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+239.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No70c1,521$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.971747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No25c1,510$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.318046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No73c1,502$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.713847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes28c1,429$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.572944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c1,427$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.4787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No68c1,412$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.5630448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No67c1,400$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9383737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No67c1,200$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8044951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No67c1,200$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.1812647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No67c1,200$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8044548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No67c1,151$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.178254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No67c1,091$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.2312738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No67c1,045$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.159553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No67c1,040$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.84447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No67c1,040$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.84753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6708250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6706654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+150.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No27c902.21$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.335846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No67c900$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No67c900$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No67c769.89$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.833135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No67c640$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.85251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No67c624$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.085552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No67c624$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.084953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes28c590.67$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.283148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No21c579.21$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.21837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+48.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed Yes29c568.97$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+139.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No67c560$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.24847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes28c524.96$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.97540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Yes78c509.93$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.93944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No56c484.84$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.653354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No69c463.02$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.2612963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes78c450.65$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.057953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes24c438.62$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.621040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes78c431$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9126346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes11c428.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.465127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c418.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.123250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2685352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2684553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2684650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No76c395$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.37060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes4c379.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.082425%6 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+105.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No72c373.23$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.728066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No67c357.54$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.551233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.141266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c324.87$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4226660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes30c315.96$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5512957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No72c312.5$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1243…5c5fbacked No22c312.47$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes12c300.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.13875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+144.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes14c300$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2573432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes23c287.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.546100%6 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+179.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes31c272.67$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2923342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes16c250.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2522854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No23c235.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9118351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes41c218.74$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6433145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c173$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9128448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No29c171.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3318155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes32c167$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.562277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.3wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+78.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No67c160$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.23652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No69c154.57$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.657946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ee…6863backed No16c152.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes10c150.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.71837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+69.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No66c142.71$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7613250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes29c141.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2146450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes74c139.78$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.781442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No64c139.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.755955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No72c139$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.082268.2%15 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6c5…d269backed Yes32c138.81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.39742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+49.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Yes79c138.71$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3c…a938backed Yes29c138.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.041266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.