Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb403985d052d1630d386e8a321db245d0b4c37eb805e623c295d2b9da180c67e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 17c | 4,337$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.72 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 3,581$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.44 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 23c | 2,757$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 76c | 2,410$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,275$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 24c | 2,022$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 1,959$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb0…34ecbacked No | 79c | 1,664$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 22c | 1,560$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.07 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 1,400$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.97 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 9c | 1,060$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…1314backed Yes | 50c | 881.03$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 794.67$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 17c | 590.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…2e81backed Yes | 54c | 567.15$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 504.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 49c | 408.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 19c | 394.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked No | 44c | 337.33$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 77c | 315.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +496.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +695.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 290.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 20c | 255.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes | 46c | 217.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 21c | 191.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…c457backed Yes | 53c | 189.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 22c | 185.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 173.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 65c | 171.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 149.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 76c | 148.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 15c | 136.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes | 16c | 121.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 23c | 110.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 44c | 109.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f87…2cd8backed Yes | 19c | 105.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 22c | 102.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed No | 53c | 94.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 50c | 90.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Yes | 16c | 87.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +496.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 85.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 85.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a0…a8a6backed Yes | 18c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 74.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 44c | 72.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +9.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 72.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 77c | 67.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed No | 55c | 59.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed No | 48c | 51.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 35c | 47.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…acfcbacked Yes | 23c | 46.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 22c | 46.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 23c | 45.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 25c | 43.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…a77dbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 76c | 35.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Yes | 45c | 33.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1011…ed8cbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c4…eb56backed Yes | 50c | 29.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…23b3backed No | 78c | 25.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 77c | 21.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 18.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.