Cricket · resolved market
Will Bangladesh win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58cfbf38694d328690d6ccae2db3d60e2817886534837dfbfe3dd454b01321b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Yes | 9c | 2,645$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.58 | 129 | 16.3%21 W · 108 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,021$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Yes | 36c | 787.66$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.53 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 36c | 725.18$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.54 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…16bcbacked Yes | 49c | 595.95$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 35c | 548.56$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.98 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 75c | 531.03$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…8031backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 64c | 307.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…b1b0backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Yes | 65c | 299.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked No | 54c | 203$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.26 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…0e11backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 69c | 145.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 26c | 84.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…56dbbacked Yes | 23c | 84.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 35c | 81.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…725fbacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Yes | 61c | 69.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 74c | 60.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 36c | 58.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 39c | 55.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 66c | 52.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…fcdfbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…3f53backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5a…deb7backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…559abacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 62c | 29.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 61c | 23.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bangladesh win?this page
- Will Zimbabwe win?Yes won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.