Cricket · resolved market
Will Zimbabwe win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e2650e4915ae547c9314bcc4d6aa33755cfb13a9929fbc7bf1d5f811db63cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x327a…2381backed No | 9c | 4,523$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.79 | 121 | 22.3%27 W · 94 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519b…624ebacked No | 10c | 3,798$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.76 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 13c | 3,382$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.13 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 5c | 1,289$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed No | 8c | 1,047$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 6c | 807.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 5c | 561$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 7c | 467.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 9c | 407.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 5c | 375.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 9c | 335$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 37c | 205$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 9c | 198.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked No | 7c | 191.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked No | 71c | 186.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 9c | 159.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 11c | 155$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed No | 76c | 124.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked No | 68c | 119.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 34c | 115.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 25c | 85.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Yes | 29c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150d…e174backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…c462backed Yes | 30c | 50.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 30c | 48.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 47.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 31c | 38.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 71c | 22.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 21.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zimbabwe win?this page
- Will Bangladesh win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.