Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KRC Genk vs. FC Basel 1893 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e9e5a245002b56cdba99476cf32372eca05c77999ec7aab23674ac18214c05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 4,279$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 25c | 640$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 72.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 60.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 49.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…0e11backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 24.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 75cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KRC Genk vs. FC Basel 1893 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-11-27?No won
- Will KRC Genk win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.