TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked No73c10,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,299.9625752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c7,741$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.44,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c7,114$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,184.61,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes27c4,987$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.7838649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No70c4,563$3,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.752,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No74c2,500$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85014147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c2,417$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.252,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes28c2,143$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.8624047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c2,094$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.16,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4601,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.9933057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No72c1,800$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.5139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes25c1,779$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.413939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes29c1,200$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8527332.9%24 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes28c1,072$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.842646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No72c999.95$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9653134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes27c987$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.5125648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No33c944.72$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.41,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9e…7928backed Yes30c937$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.91030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Yes28c892.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No33c868.48$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3725530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes23c822.58$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.582536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No73c799.99$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58436956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes19c794.68$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.689749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Yes76c655.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.055955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Yes17c560.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.42832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes27c554.91$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.5230739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Yes29c545.73$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.181520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003941%16 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3709555.8%53 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8525836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c437$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.1768942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc9…0e6ebacked Yes19c423.57$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.62580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+135.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c400$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c383$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.691,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes80c368.84$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No72c357.11$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.619246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3319732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.336235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes24c300$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No73c300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21960557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed No74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c271.93$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.6736462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No45c269.04$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.229041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No73c260.27$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905162.7%32 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes64c259$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2624146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes20c255.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.26053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes26c250$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18518646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes27c244.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6718551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed No75c229.14$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.314843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0110…3b75backed Yes27c228.52$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.821844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes27c220.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2210846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes28c214.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.299749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14630050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14637958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No73c199.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9929259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0277…0677backed Yes30c190$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1331861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes54c173.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4357744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes27c168.66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.126546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7165…bcb8backed Yes80c165.81$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.213100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes27c159.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2636036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes19c153.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.955444.4%24 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes27c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.523353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes32c143.55$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.021,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c1…c739backed Yes20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes20c124.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.663050%15 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes30c122.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.876841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No73c119.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5935056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.683930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes76c109.5$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.148853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.148438.1%32 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ed…cf8bbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.144055%22 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bfe…a365backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.262642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827248.6%35 W · 37 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+35.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807030%21 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb202…3909backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701457.1%8 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick25cpaid+98%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8324340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.234251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296048.3%29 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x286e…7d04backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa022…22f1backed Yes73c95.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No29c92.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9216634.9%58 W · 108 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes28c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2931746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No14c83.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.511861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes72c81.63$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0558445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No43c75.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.381,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.074731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7422…e383backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.073345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e5…d413backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b3…0e11backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.072142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fa…c0bebacked Yes30c72.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.772343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd98b…58debacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes31c64.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.587328.8%21 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No73c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No73c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.826259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.