TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77fa…c0be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.16
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$94.37
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$39.14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.61
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47.54
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.77
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$37.15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+233.3%+$50.77
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.93
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.8%+$92.21
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.3%+$43.7
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26.91
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$45.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$22.07
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$135.75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$117.37
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$46.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$20.27
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.03
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.17
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+466.1%+$311.11
Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$293.95
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29.71
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$59.65
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$49.25
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.27
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+37%+$17
Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$38.98
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37.29
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53.08
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+77.9%+$118.27
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$45.95
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+132.6%+$63.02
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+577.9%+$140
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+46.6%+$6.93
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$78.84
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$44.45
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.58
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$163.83
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.57
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.2%+$96.56
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+53.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75%+$14.83
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+161.7%+$71.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$74.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$44.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.