Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cd4a0705f5f7c9bbaaa0f9d257b5d7f3ef16ea305ccc7d8e24ce605c2ad85ae

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $111,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $119,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,648 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes	9c	30,516$2,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,865.85	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No	80c	9,700$7,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,940	104	55.8%58 W · 46 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	18c	7,000$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270	197	29.4%58 W · 139 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No	79c	3,443$2,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.59	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes	13c	2,996$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31aa…60d4backed Yes	14c	2,408$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	21c	2,395$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.95	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06a8…2927backed Yes	22c	2,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72ab…edaabacked Yes	3c	2,000$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No	80c	1,863$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.6	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	79c	1,657$1,309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.04	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0252…38d7backed Yes	2c	1,654$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.04	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	20c	1,400$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	178	33.7%60 W · 118 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes	21c	1,250$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.5	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No	79c	1,178$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.08	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-6.8wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Yes	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes	21c	952.38$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes	17c	894.43$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes	21c	792$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.32	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No	78c	767.03$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.02	306	66%202 W · 104 L	+57.3wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No	78c	596.23$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.59	71	76.1%54 W · 17 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	69cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes	20c	519.93$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.13	118	46.6%55 W · 63 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes	25c	508.67$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.17	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-6.0wins	-0.19per pick	63cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	197	32.5%64 W · 133 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes	21c	452.21$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.6	1,163	57.4%667 W · 496 L	+40.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes	13c	384.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	95	34.7%33 W · 62 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb604…b046backed Yes	20c	304.57$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.91	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes	21c	300$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No	79c	300$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	255	51.8%132 W · 123 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes	21c	250$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	186	46.8%87 W · 99 L	+11.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No	79c	224.43$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.13	307	39.4%121 W · 186 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fa…c0bebacked Yes	13c	206.97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	300	50.3%151 W · 149 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	153	50.3%77 W · 76 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes	21c	166.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30aa…25f4backed Yes	22c	159.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes	21c	157.14$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes	10c	154.55$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes	21c	150$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a1…89f9backed Yes	22c	140$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes	15c	134.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	138	34.1%47 W · 91 L	-11.9wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes	21c	124.81$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.21	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	181	24.9%45 W · 136 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc542…20c5backed Yes	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Yes	21c	111.1$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.33	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes	22c	101.73$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.38	150	25.3%38 W · 112 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	155	34.8%54 W · 101 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	440	36.8%162 W · 278 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes	21c	95.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	210	43.8%92 W · 118 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0393…6981backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9977…ddb5backed Yes	21c	95.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Yes	21c	90.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	140	45%63 W · 77 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes	14c	83.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	255	30.2%77 W · 178 L	-22.1wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	232	20.7%48 W · 184 L	-12.5wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes	14c	79.5$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.13	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes	17c	79.06$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes	20c	72.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	92	30.4%28 W · 64 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae6…01febacked Yes	21c	52.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes	21c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	396	51.5%204 W · 192 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-11.4wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed No	80c	33.13$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.63	165	52.7%87 W · 78 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No	79c	26$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.46	157	64.3%101 W · 56 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb91…ff36backed No	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	80cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?this page
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-03?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event