Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59fb4eca51336d22cd972760fbb01ef94c6c07fc6cf7a036e1c1a2f278787236
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 12c | 5,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 14c | 1,716$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 4c | 1,668$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,552$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 13c | 1,077$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…723fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 13c | 999.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4c58backed Yes | 4c | 834.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 12c | 695.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…9920backed Yes | 13c | 527.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 12c | 481.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 442.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b7efbacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 14c | 358.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 5c | 338$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 15c | 264$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 251$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 13c | 250$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 12c | 221.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 14c | 170$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 14c | 147.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f3…3e24backed Yes | 14c | 117.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 11c | 104.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…f34ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…eaf0backed Yes | 14c | 92.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.