TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$202,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55a1…db28backed Over58c22,263$12,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,459.522748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3006132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c8,655$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.973,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c7,398$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.4376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c7,050$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over59c5,785$3,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.068844.3%39 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Over57c5,277$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over58c5,200$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.968359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Over56c3,724$2,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.571650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under42c3,565$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.315349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under18c3,119$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.481050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Over59c2,928$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under41c2,160$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.198960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over53c1,892$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.313818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over54c1,864$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.5721444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under5c1,822$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.18321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c1,666$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7259752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under44c1,378$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51629250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over58c1,041$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.261850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Over56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44013826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4207045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over56c999.59$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.592839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Under16c799.53$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.962152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Under45c651$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.64944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under43c609.98$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2923046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over58c568.51$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under43c555$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6531851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Under34c543.04$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.632035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over57c435.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.738940.4%36 W · 53 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16811646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea89…0ad7backed Under46c391.7$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.36837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over57c385.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.963271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under46c363.39$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.392770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under36c310.65$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.266958%40 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over54c290.74$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.743151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7810740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under24c254.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.059845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Over56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Over48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under43c217.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.536051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under44c215.74$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2412945%58 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca12…1cc0backed Under19c210.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over57c210.68$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.591050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c200.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2129343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8446453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889850%49 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8442352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8439749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under33c198.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8216841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over57c194.6$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6812852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over56c189.05$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0511331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0989…5247backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Over55c185.32$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.397945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over54c181.68$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.621241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under43c181.11$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5112147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5723736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under43c178.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4813050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under45c166.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over57c164.28$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd942…7a49backed Over56c158.66$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.01955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over72c153$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.475070%35 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under20c152.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.652263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under47c149.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4912350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Over58c148.67$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.673250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over52c142.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.52450%12 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Over57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.351866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under46c135$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.56850%34 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under45c135$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.36852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed Under45c134.91$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Under46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Over60c128.76$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.941266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6510734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Under33c121.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.83948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under15c118.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.063412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x3e93…ddcdbacked Over57c117.64$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over57c116.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.315032%16 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under45c115.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8414537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507441.9%31 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over55c107.65$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4310868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2472…8d9bbacked Over56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under37c106.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.26425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcecc…affebacked Over55c102$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over57c101.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.77230.6%22 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210944%48 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4455942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4746525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under48c99.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.999842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under42c95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.94341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Over53c95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff32…5f58backed Under45c91.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fa…c0bebacked Over57c90.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.