Fifa International · resolved market
Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c476a6d13a7cc4a03c8f5d12cba9ad1e995dc7f44686467473e6f0d7c665fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Over | 58c | 22,263$12,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,459.52 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 8,655$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.97 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 7,398$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.43 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 7,050$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 59c | 5,785$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.06 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Over | 57c | 5,277$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 58c | 5,200$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.96 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Over | 56c | 3,724$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 42c | 3,565$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.31 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Under | 18c | 3,119$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Over | 59c | 2,928$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 41c | 2,160$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.19 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 53c | 1,892$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.31 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 54c | 1,864$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.57 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 5c | 1,822$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 42c | 1,666$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Under | 44c | 1,378$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 58c | 1,041$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 999.59$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.59 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Under | 16c | 799.53$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 45c | 651$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 43c | 609.98$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.29 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 58c | 568.51$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 555$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Under | 34c | 543.04$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 57c | 435.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.73 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0ad7backed Under | 46c | 391.7$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 57c | 385.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 46c | 363.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 36c | 310.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 54c | 290.74$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 24c | 254.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 43c | 217.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 44c | 215.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…1cc0backed Under | 19c | 210.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 57c | 210.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 200.76$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 33c | 198.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 57c | 194.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 56c | 189.05$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…5247backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Over | 55c | 185.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 54c | 181.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 43c | 181.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 43c | 178.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Over | 57c | 164.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…7a49backed Over | 56c | 158.66$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 72c | 153$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Under | 20c | 152.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Over | 58c | 148.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 52c | 142.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Over | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 45c | 135$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Under | 45c | 134.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Over | 60c | 128.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 33c | 121.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 15c | 118.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…ddcdbacked Over | 57c | 117.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 57c | 116.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 45c | 115.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 55c | 107.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 37c | 106.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…6a9bbacked Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Over | 55c | 102$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 57c | 101.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…5f58backed Under | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…c0bebacked Over | 57c | 90.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5this page
- Nigeria vs. Mozambique: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.