TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,841 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under69c110,267$76,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,406.342065%13 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over29c43,801$12,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,141.5274447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c16,844$5,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,325.573,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over32c9,516$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,499.5576048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over38c9,248$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,733.833441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c9,021$2,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,081.544,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5005349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Over31c5,000$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4503534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Over34c2,953$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over68c2,567$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.321258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+51.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…dc71backed Under73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.286563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over29c1,293$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.0359752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over43c1,290$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Over64c1,100$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3963342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over29c1,030$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.588960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7007045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under69c942.41$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65022551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under46c878.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under41c862.92$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6629343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under6c767.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.988321.7%18 W · 65 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+81.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Over65c763.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+54%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c650.38$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.611,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under66c554.96$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.2831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03e4…85b4backed Over43c530.15$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under69c434.07$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a7a…7181backed Over61c422.76$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over49c404.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.8811431.6%36 W · 78 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28011646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over52c399.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over49c352.82$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.181560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under70c317.94$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.562161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over64c311.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.322770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under68c299.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.993268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over50c239.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.932334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Under41c224.68$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.551266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under48c218$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.646331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over30c217.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.256051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over49c203.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14046453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14042352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14039749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Over30c199.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.991070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over31c196.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5625727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under42c183.29$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.855032%16 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Over33c183.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.145334%18 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over55c179.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.646958%40 W · 29 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over34c174.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4111331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad1e…d9b0backed Over78c173.41$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.58785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under43c164.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.452263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.254219%8 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.257147.9%34 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over48c154.17$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10520245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10212350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10513050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Under69c145.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005154.9%28 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over33c133.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.33128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x271c…4314backed Over56c125.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over30c125$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.512945%58 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a3…40b9backed Under48c123.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over30c120$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8412147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x115c…1e85backed Under68c116.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.07966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2258…29dfbacked Over49c116.43$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under68c115$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over70c113.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6410868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06f6…05bfbacked Over44c104.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.66475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over48c102.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0816535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0989…5247backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7010452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Under72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7010944%48 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6948…b971backed Over31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over32c99.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6855942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Over30c99.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.722035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under64c98.75$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2621444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over30c95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.54341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.912339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over30c90$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6310442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over30c90$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over30c90$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6335848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over29c89.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8517048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22f6…6a9bbacked Under68c88.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca7…6e6ebacked Over36c84.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+52.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.56051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.57450%37 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.56850%34 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.56852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.56349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.57552%39 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.57848.7%38 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.57050%35 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.57553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over30c75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.58055%44 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.