Fifa International · resolved market
Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8beecd191549118cf91883407005059c2b17d6e6ec9bcac2576ec71fa9d261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 20c | 3,664$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.74 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 80c | 2,930$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 1,359$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 634.28$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.07 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 78c | 404.14$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 80c | 302.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Under | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 19c | 276.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 254.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 21c | 222$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Over | 78c | 217.71$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 152.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 22c | 149.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 74c | 124.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 21c | 114.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 24c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0660…a61fbacked Over | 78c | 93.42$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…4c5ebacked Over | 79c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Over | 77c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Under | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 77c | 65.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 77c | 56.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Under | 22c | 54.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 77c | 51.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd927…ea7cbacked Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 21c | 49.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Over | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Under | 23c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Over | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…4492backed Under | 26c | 40.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 27.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…85b4backed Over | 77c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 80c | 13.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…0cd1backed Over | 79c | 13.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07a…b37fbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 1.5this page
- Nigeria vs. Mozambique: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.