TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,032 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf43d…1e75backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402123.8%5 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c21,548$9,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,866.316,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes51c12,319$6,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,240.871,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed No51c7,553$3,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.575752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes52c7,101$3,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,670.991,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No52c5,629$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,701.8410148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked No48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6002755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes48c4,962$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.741650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes51c4,571$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.1539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked No48c4,300$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.81275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes52c3,598$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.831921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes52c3,402$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.088747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c3,249$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.964,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes74c3,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2203655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.339250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes73c1,999$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.262850%14 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.14637%17 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Yes49c1,746$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.2721853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No51c1,695$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.3915049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes74c1,581$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.72,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78014147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c1,290$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.041,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No16c1,229$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.0234428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61240953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Yes50c1,193$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No47c1,150$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.4518433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes49c1,113$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.298958.4%52 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.678842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Yes78c1,026$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009739.2%38 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52014854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7503953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No48c996$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.9214456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No52c970$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.614943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad4…f293backed Yes53c945.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes52c935.52$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.69246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa875…ca8dbacked No49c918.37$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.371464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No51c910.2$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4469843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No48c887$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.2411945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No48c884.52$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.955276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No24c772.61$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.241,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Yes47c750.85$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.91855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes52c742.43$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.2268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff0…0178backed No48c720$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed Yes45c703.16$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.422744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961d…953dbacked Yes53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes52c696.14$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9930739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e2…787cbacked Yes53c670$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb56b…068ebacked No48c650$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed No48c591.66$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.665438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes52c578$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.568552.9%45 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No53c566.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8953134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes52c563.44$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8418551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes75c553.33$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4152373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked No48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.836241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Yes52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2603135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No51c490.65$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.212639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes52c450.52$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.2732453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes74c447.78$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.728853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.169749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No49c405$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4520750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Yes75c400.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Yes75c394.67$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2962060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…785abacked Yes51c392.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1612748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No24c379.96$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.7756453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes53c363.63$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.729949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes52c352.07$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0812324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Yes52c345$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.43348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked Yes63c327.89$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.213246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes48c326.29$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.626833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes56c325$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5624146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked No48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.57843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes50c312$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes49c309.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8923531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1878…6f4abacked No55c305.91$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceec…7a94backed No54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No50c300$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.221656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabfd…8ef0backed Yes47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15337342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes52c255.1$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4715350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes52c251.48$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7731053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes52c250.02$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.016546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes52c245.86$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0930050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No74c235$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes25c232.63$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.936741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.