Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8bb1614e41c7759fcf6f95e6d6f0e124cac693de4b55f7ef7b2ddc104c7eb34

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $155,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $148,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,548 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes	21c	15,000$3,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,150	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	22c	11,041$2,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,421.33	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	11c	9,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	197	29.4%58 W · 139 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	3c	6,092$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.14	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes	23c	4,383$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Yes	22c	4,380$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.52	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	22c	4,100$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	22c	3,797$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.34	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No	77c	3,383$2,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$765.9	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes	4c	2,663$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	79c	2,519$1,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes	21c	2,500$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.99	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dad…5c37backed Yes	22c	2,403$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.68	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	30cpaid	-50%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	78c	2,310$1,807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.09	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	6c	2,211$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.52	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf957…d5a6backed Yes	6c	2,167$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.24	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c1…8c13backed Yes	25c	1,944$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdea1…5a65backed Yes	22c	1,817$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.83	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	22c	1,585$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.91	414	37.9%157 W · 257 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2015…3ddcbacked Yes	7c	1,551$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No	79c	1,490$1,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.9	101	59.4%60 W · 41 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes	10c	1,400$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	+5.0wins	+0.09per pick	20cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No	78c	1,331$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.31	141	47.5%67 W · 74 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes	23c	1,304$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+9.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f8d…9ea6backed Yes	21c	1,302$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.11	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes	22c	1,212$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.44	256	48%123 W · 133 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No	79c	1,200$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252	409	53.3%218 W · 191 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes	21c	1,180$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.75	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes	14c	1,154$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.32	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No	78c	1,100$857 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243	255	51.8%132 W · 123 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes	14c	1,026$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	112	34.8%39 W · 73 L	+8.5wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes	8c	1,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Yes	21c	938.06$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.99	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes	24c	930.92$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.42	86	32.6%28 W · 58 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88be…2272backed Yes	22c	909.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No	79c	900$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc3ae…5833backed Yes	3c	800$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.73	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd923…aed5backed Yes	16c	751.99$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No	78c	599.99$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	310	53.2%165 W · 145 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	23c	586.96$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	78c	554.99$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.1	215	48.8%105 W · 110 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No	79c	527.22$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.29	307	39.4%121 W · 186 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No	78c	506.4$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.74	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No	79c	504$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.84	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcaa0…833bbacked No	78c	499.99$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No	79c	486.72$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.21	52	76.9%40 W · 12 L	+8.9wins	+0.17per pick	60cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	255	32.9%84 W · 171 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	155	43.9%68 W · 87 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb49…5fbdbacked Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	4c	440.55$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.24	117	12%14 W · 103 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1654…8e39backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd502…4d4cbacked No	79c	400.84$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.95	86	70.9%61 W · 25 L	+7.8wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	7c	400$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e8…a63dbacked Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed No	78c	378.91$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.64	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No	79c	369.62$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.62	192	59.4%114 W · 78 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed No	79c	350$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.5	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No	76c	334.17$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.2	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes	20c	332.98$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	122	41.8%51 W · 71 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5064…3ba3backed Yes	20c	319$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.8	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed No	77c	318.86$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.34	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No	78c	300$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	324	53.1%172 W · 152 L	+13.2wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes	24c	300$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No	79c	300$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	185	51.9%96 W · 89 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No	76c	285.87$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.61	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes	14c	280.3$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+11.6wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+73%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf841…8571backed Yes	22c	277.27$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No	78c	269.75$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.16	153	50.3%77 W · 76 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes	23c	260.87$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	9c	258.58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	182	51.6%94 W · 88 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No	76c	258.33$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Yes	6c	257$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	9c	254.8$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8159…ed58backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked No	78c	230.77$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.77	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	70cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-7.2wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x59fe…05eabacked Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ecd…c49fbacked Yes	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd1…7511backed Yes	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	200	27%54 W · 146 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	28.1%18 W · 46 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes	5c	203.06$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	255	30.2%77 W · 178 L	-22.1wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x79d1…f1a3backed Yes	15c	201.3$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.11	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No	79c	200$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.67	300	50.3%151 W · 149 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-5.0wins	-0.26per pick	37cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	69	33.3%23 W · 46 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	119	23.5%28 W · 91 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d08…763ebacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes	24c	197.54$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.41	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes	21c	183$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.65	119	45.4%54 W · 65 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes	22c	181.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked No	80c	175.75$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.15	83	65.1%54 W · 29 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes	16c	175$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	107	26.2%28 W · 79 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes	23c	174.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	161	42.9%69 W · 92 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-04?this page
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?Yes won
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event