TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,152
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$208,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,152 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over51c53,048$26,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,067.162347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c29,358$14,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,397.231,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c18,173$8,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,547.882,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c15,126$8,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,052.386,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over50c14,908$7,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,453.976142.6%26 W · 35 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Over53c14,151$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,650.942450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under47c7,313$3,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,445.9425752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over37c7,000$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3903138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under49c5,931$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.1921853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under54c5,596$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Under49c5,140$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5138853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under50c2,909$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.162,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over53c2,566$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.0412649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over53c2,318$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.8114456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over48c2,256$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.6245936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Over50c2,253$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.274748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c2,239$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.141,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under47c2,089$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.9515049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over53c2,075$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.4716753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9833057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,627$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.674,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over52c1,250$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.55560%33 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c8f…c146backed Over52c1,166$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.68650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a83…195bbacked Over51c1,022$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.572445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Over52c1,010$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.621136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4707147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003528.6%10 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706150.8%31 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c999.23$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c973.98$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.1439156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Over50c966.93$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.622128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c950$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.51,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over53c950$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over53c945$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.848643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under49c883.8$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.0621656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under34c806.42$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.8417744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked Under50c728.42$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.481258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over51c714$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.4242048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked Under75c677.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.153336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under49c642.51$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8337054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b6…6232backed Over53c599.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over50c572.92$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.462050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0420054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5995…53b3backed Over58c560.34$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.34988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick74cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over54c556.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4417428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over49c510.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.212639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over52c488$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.471,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over53c484.9$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.96241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Over52c481.77$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.252540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.730645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Under48c467.6$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.452556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over59c456.04$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0824158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under48c450$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21437958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Under47c425$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.759949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over53c424.87$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5133753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under49c420$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.819357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6729044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1888349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.169958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d3f…1400backed Over49c379.59$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.591421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under44c373.18$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0910234.3%35 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c343.3$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.981,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fdf…0726backed Over59c338.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.071963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c331.69$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2183459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14459958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd829…d60ebacked Over51c287.35$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.17850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over69c278.64$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3874156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over53c269.81$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8119826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over52c265.38$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3849544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over38c250$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15513841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.525256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce1…19f3backed Over51c241.88$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.521464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under46c218.1$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7257744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over59c201.54$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5411448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99f…af99backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6d…58f6backed Under72c199.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.992948.3%14 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick67cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under34c194.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.255752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under52c193.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6489152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+61.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9b44backed Over53c188.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c181.82$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8217161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.481559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4415263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x276f…bfb5backed Over46c152.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.925549.1%27 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Over53c147.71$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.013265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Under44c147.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.461421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-66.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under47c144.51$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.921442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf085…5696backed Over28c142.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.752240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over50c140.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1540841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.236758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Over55c140$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over57c130$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.327752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under48c130$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.