Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x701c231f4bc2fb3c0cdf9bd4cd31504febad62578186b270eec353f2f09397cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 64c | 32,031$20,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,607.96 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 19,577$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,986.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 36c | 10,119$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,526.37 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 76c | 7,515$5,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,710.5 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 35c | 6,163$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 5,274$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.54 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 73c | 3,879$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.46 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 77c | 2,306$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 2,167$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.65 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 28c | 1,900$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 28c | 1,810$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 30c | 1,134$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.98 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Under | 71c | 883.59$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 32c | 472.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.38 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Under | 58c | 409.04$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 25c | 400.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Under | 76c | 398.61$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.89 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a94…0f59backed Under | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 76cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 63c | 333.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…7e8cbacked Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Under | 65c | 261.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 23c | 256.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.52 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 10c | 250$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.57 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 68c | 239.22$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.67 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 23c | 215.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 36c | 159.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 124.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 31c | 109.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 35c | 97.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 28c | 96.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 32c | 79.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 26c | 65.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 74c | 65.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 27c | 60.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Over | 26c | 54.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 80c | 53.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Over | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 36c | 35.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…0cacbacked Under | 77c | 34.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Over | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 62c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 69c | 29.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…4085backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Under | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Under | 76c | 20.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…b587backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Under | 77c | 19.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.