Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f39823eb064204b47b9eb69cf2ea9f0313d7582723bc6753fd0fc9d3151d705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 14,325$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.71 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 77c | 5,149$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.27 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 77c | 2,727$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.27 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 79c | 2,516$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.31 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 75c | 2,401$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.14 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 73c | 2,011$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.59 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 1,727$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 22c | 1,636$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.95 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 74c | 1,391$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.18 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 23c | 1,290$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.77 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Under | 20c | 1,121$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…cce6backed Over | 80c | 777.73$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 17c | 507.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 15c | 503.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 74c | 473$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 77c | 431.22$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Over | 76c | 327.63$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Under | 11c | 265.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Under | 23c | 164.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 141.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 139.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 23c | 119.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 77c | 117$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 24c | 112$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 13c | 105.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 76c | 104$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 23c | 104$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 19c | 97.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 77c | 91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Under | 27c | 84.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 23c | 82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Under | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 25c | 72.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 72c | 69.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Over | 78c | 53.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…51ecbacked Under | 26c | 43.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 25c | 42.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24b…3dc0backed Over | 77c | 31.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…bc6fbacked Over | 78c | 31.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 77c | 26.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed Over | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Over | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…b4e6backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Over | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Over | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 22.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Over | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…497bbacked Over | 75c | 20.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 78c | 19.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…dad2backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 75c | 18.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Over | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Over | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 76c | 14.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.