TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Cricket · resolved market

Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Washington Freedom

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Freedomof San Francisco Unicorns, Washington Freedom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$175,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Cricket
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4b7…6008backed San Francisco Unicorns25c16,887$4,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,186.7133140.2%133 W · 198 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0389…847bbacked Washington Freedom65c15,274$10,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,270.3115558.1%90 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Washington Freedom67c15,091$10,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,006.3111153.2%59 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x524f…2616backed Washington Freedom72c12,529$8,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,540.634472.7%32 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+21.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x601a…a675backed San Francisco Unicorns37c6,901$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.274242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d30…ce29backed Washington Freedom65c6,891$4,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.7620363.5%129 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d1…7d7dbacked San Francisco Unicorns37c6,018$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,242.3632846.3%152 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed San Francisco Unicorns35c3,288$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.4219450%97 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked San Francisco Unicorns27c2,888$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.1550247.4%238 W · 264 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Washington Freedom54c2,556$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.192259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1baf…39d6backed San Francisco Unicorns41c1,929$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7895433.3%18 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…d3b2backed San Francisco Unicorns36c1,910$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.517535.4%62 W · 113 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked San Francisco Unicorns30c1,837$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.6722834.2%78 W · 150 L-17.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Washington Freedom68c1,590$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.5512534.4%43 W · 82 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd99c…c6c6backed San Francisco Unicorns42c1,458$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.143250%16 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked San Francisco Unicorns49c1,253$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.0249247.2%232 W · 260 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed San Francisco Unicorns49c1,105$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.4245647.6%217 W · 239 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Washington Freedom66c1,094$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.0256837%210 W · 358 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…20bbbacked San Francisco Unicorns36c1,090$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.087935.4%28 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed San Francisco Unicorns51c900$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.186946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x037a…1202backed Washington Freedom73c867.41$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.457146.5%33 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa4c…9671backed Washington Freedom69c848.54$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked San Francisco Unicorns49c819.32$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9764143.1%276 W · 365 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b3…0e11backed San Francisco Unicorns26c762.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004540%18 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8504…88dcbacked San Francisco Unicorns42c719.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002955.2%16 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked San Francisco Unicorns36c703.7$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.611643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa461…ab70backed San Francisco Unicorns27c681.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.699034.4%31 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5b…ba31backed San Francisco Unicorns32c641.97$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.5617641.5%73 W · 103 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Freedom66c614.48$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.963346.3%293 W · 340 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Unicorns45c594.77$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4538544.4%171 W · 214 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Washington Freedom66c543.63$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.976251.6%393 W · 369 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0646…ad17backed San Francisco Unicorns10c528.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1232315.8%51 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43fe…26eebacked San Francisco Unicorns36c503.36$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1947061.5%289 W · 181 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1599…a8b6backed San Francisco Unicorns31c500$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9432337.2%120 W · 203 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3627…09f2backed Washington Freedom54c456.66$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.615935.6%21 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c7…b914backed Washington Freedom79c446.26$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.017255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Washington Freedom62c415.45$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1415650.6%79 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5986…73dcbacked San Francisco Unicorns37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1489860.2%59 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked San Francisco Unicorns28c378.72$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2215936.5%58 W · 101 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed San Francisco Unicorns36c378.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.72846.4%13 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8806…d9f1backed San Francisco Unicorns37c373.73$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.727719.5%15 W · 62 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-31%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd41a…aa9fbacked San Francisco Unicorns33c362.33$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.321921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed San Francisco Unicorns49c347.42$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2437848.1%182 W · 196 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed San Francisco Unicorns32c299.16$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.842356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed San Francisco Unicorns33c257.24$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.863839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b3b…f353backed San Francisco Unicorns31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1590%0 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked San Francisco Unicorns37c240$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.813144.3%58 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2a5…d40dbacked San Francisco Unicorns8c237.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Washington Freedom51c212.59$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1712343.9%54 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca6f…1c42backed San Francisco Unicorns24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.2%7 W · 106 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick15cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked San Francisco Unicorns37c203.97$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3811841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Freedom68c200.26$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.475824.1%14 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-48.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed San Francisco Unicorns32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6415940.9%65 W · 94 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Washington Freedom66c184.78$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.713237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked San Francisco Unicorns31c178.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6211545.2%52 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Washington Freedom74c172.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5141647.4%197 W · 219 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ad…4e13backed San Francisco Unicorns14c168.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.237058.6%41 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd02…889fbacked Washington Freedom80c160.37$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.37683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3aff…aad8backed San Francisco Unicorns34c159.28$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.15911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-67.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9468…ccb5backed Washington Freedom79c156.27$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…0c4bbacked San Francisco Unicorns41c145.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.188856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3483…4637backed San Francisco Unicorns20c129.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.848527.1%23 W · 62 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Washington Freedom50c122.09$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.124652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5817…987dbacked San Francisco Unicorns51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6117943.6%78 W · 101 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Washington Freedom64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Washington Freedom69c114.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.972828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Freedom64c110$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.642044%185 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ae…a11fbacked Washington Freedom66c105.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Washington Freedom67c101.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2712250.8%62 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked San Francisco Unicorns30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf587…cc7bbacked Washington Freedom75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254780.9%38 W · 9 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8b13…bb18backed San Francisco Unicorns19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198023.8%19 W · 61 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5db…23e0backed San Francisco Unicorns20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205529.1%16 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed San Francisco Unicorns49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4925848.4%125 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed Washington Freedom54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked San Francisco Unicorns49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497548%36 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Washington Freedom51c98.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked San Francisco Unicorns40c94.63$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.310420.2%21 W · 83 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed San Francisco Unicorns48c93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.867631.4%212 W · 464 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff1…4766backed San Francisco Unicorns49c86.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.73959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4d…066dbacked San Francisco Unicorns37c83.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122647.3%107 W · 119 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c8…a25cbacked Washington Freedom69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ae…3003backed San Francisco Unicorns43c79.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.413752.6%72 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Washington Freedom70c78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-29.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed San Francisco Unicorns49c76.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.45034%17 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee6d…0c24backed San Francisco Unicorns30c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.521035.7%75 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Washington Freedom53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2518357.9%106 W · 77 L+17.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Washington Freedom69c73.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeea…0c83backed Washington Freedom70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99ad…064ebacked Washington Freedom70c71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14fa…00a5backed San Francisco Unicorns29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.38634.9%30 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Washington Freedom55c68.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.887746.8%36 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ae…61b5backed San Francisco Unicorns38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+400%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Washington Freedom66c64.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6365250.9%332 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22f3…6c94backed San Francisco Unicorns35c64.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7336047.5%171 W · 189 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…d6d0backed Washington Freedom70c61.26$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…4d65backed Washington Freedom65c61.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.072254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…e91fbacked San Francisco Unicorns33c61.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208250%41 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e43…ea02backed San Francisco Unicorns18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e4…757dbacked Washington Freedom64c59.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.362227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.