TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$418,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,648 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes66c71,789$47,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,408.313339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6a…5b18backed No34c65,333$22,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,213.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c59,039$22,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,344.826,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes60c44,612$26,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,844.9716040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c26,358$9,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,571.511,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598e…7336backed Yes62c19,651$12,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,467.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No38c9,404$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,576.2651750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No31c8,262$2,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.3246943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No35c7,700$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.999856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No39c7,504$2,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.455056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked No40c5,433$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.21631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c5,375$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.911,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes62c5,302$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.2923350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes65c5,197$3,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.0585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked No39c5,146$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.473855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes65c4,825$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.477650%38 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes66c3,839$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.799055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No27c3,431$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.821,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed No14c3,152$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.9213727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53d3…ba87backed Yes73c2,431$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.811822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.677229.2%21 W · 51 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c1,598$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.1310236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes63c1,432$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.664369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked No19c1,400$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2665044%22 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No39c1,085$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.6627141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No34c777.7$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.421,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No34c758.13$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.771,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.588259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea1a…13b5backed Yes60c742.77$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No19c700.11$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0225348.2%122 W · 131 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c606.81$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.942,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Yes60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No34c587.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c586.48$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.782,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed Yes63c550$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.51978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No16c541.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.616024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8710850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f65…4875backed No40c454.61$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No39c441.53$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.5419441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No35c431.84$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4696443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes68c405.53$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5326344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No40c370.51$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6449753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes66c346.45$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.331746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.466442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1175759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205064%32 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed No5c297.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.172015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid+19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No15c265.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5510448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes66c265.15$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1511746.2%54 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes61c260.48$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5945142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…625abacked Yes61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes66c240$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.611047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No33c227$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.914353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes66c190$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.630059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5225057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…1df7backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.259749.5%48 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…1cd1backed Yes68c147.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.243855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Yes65c137.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.942454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No32c135.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.751,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No40c132.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6531747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f9…6e9fbacked Yes66c132.41$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked No34c126.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes63c126.1$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.14040%16 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ce9…e7afbacked Yes61c114.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…652dbacked Yes67c101.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.493129%9 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3313651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Yes65c99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.653467.6%23 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8983…91b1backed Yes63c95.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x174c…6371backed Yes61c95.08$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3113256.1%74 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.220144.3%89 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No40c90$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3627051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Yes61c82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.983259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes61c81.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.398867%59 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6510454.8%57 W · 47 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x73be…b024backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.653740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Yes68c80.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.32025%5 W · 15 L-7.1wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-64.1%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3735347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No33c76.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed No40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2824844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No32c69.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3510750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes63c63.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.55446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No34c62.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3932345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.737840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0484…4830backed Yes63c59.05$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.584156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed No40c55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ad…e759backed Yes61c54.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.15757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c66…eb73backed Yes67c53.54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.673063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b3…0e11backed Yes61c52.36$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes65c50.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7711850.8%60 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes62c50.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.052842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1818963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes61c49.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.175450%27 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.