Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3de9716d79e20f7c245c978bfa61cb3aaf4d7c3dc22d2b2cf03051b556037b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,989 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8302…f88abacked Yes | 12c | 30,499$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Yes | 5c | 6,394$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc739…b6c3backed Yes | 17c | 3,998$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…8793backed Yes | 4c | 3,749$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…40dbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,634$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 2,604$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.56 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 15c | 1,682$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 15c | 1,592$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276c…374fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,484$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 16c | 1,150$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.78 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 18c | 945.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 16c | 626.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…625abacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 15c | 506.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 17c | 399$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +210.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a05fbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 18c | 309.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 9c | 302.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Yes | 18c | 143.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0240…834ebacked Yes | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 14c | 116.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…92a2backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e3…2d4fbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…7ddebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 18c | 85.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…95f0backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…652dbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 14c | 79.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…25debacked Yes | 18c | 77.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.