Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x739124eff29eddefc208d55b5d17315e700edb96f3c97d971c65de4f0fd169ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,041 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 2,622$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.48 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 77c | 1,698$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.31 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 10c | 670.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 459.69$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 5c | 414.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 3c | 412.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 3c | 412.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 78c | 291.75$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…8282backed Yes | 4c | 263.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 7c | 218.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 136.55$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 14c | 99.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…95f0backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 77.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 71.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 22.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.