TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$263,787
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,787 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Yes48c35,939$17,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,398.58743.7%38 W · 49 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+112%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes49c21,373$10,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,542.083026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No61c16,797$10,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,625.293545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes34c11,762$3,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,971.371,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No49c11,010$5,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,577.981,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes46c9,987$4,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,593.865248.1%25 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes32c8,712$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.665,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed No64c7,799$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.792864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes37c7,117$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633.298321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed No52c6,333$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.844456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Yes48c4,036$1,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.363438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3604346.5%20 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes50c3,984$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.6812434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes42c3,511$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.0210933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes31c2,951$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9126526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No51c2,933$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.0413748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No65c2,644$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.651,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed No52c2,606$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.126735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes37c2,139$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.641,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Yes41c2,099$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No70c2,063$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.71,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60012541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes47c1,824$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.052835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No66c1,765$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.653,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed No63c1,738$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.232254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No56c1,699$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.8329037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes36c1,621$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.631,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa15e…b828backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes47c1,604$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.5712738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Yes7c1,404$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.33571.4%25 W · 10 L+10.8wins+0.31per pick41cpaid+132.5%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed No62c1,350$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5133574.3%26 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes30c1,270$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.882250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes11c1,241$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.018660.5%52 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No60c1,195$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.486412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked No48c1,176$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.985248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes33c1,085$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6720934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9914530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c1,015$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.421,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No71c990$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29021252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed No65c967.09$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.722661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c920.11$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.441,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes37c903.64$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.351,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No46c887.34$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9910649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes38c799.97$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.992347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No64c785$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.612754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes36c698.56$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.483,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No60c666.91$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4221938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No65c654.45$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.82,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Yes46c650.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.996524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No51c646.25$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.8730847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No54c637.19$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3716641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes50c600.12$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.989920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked No67c597.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.182433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes36c559.28$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.341838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x055a…b4f2backed No63c472$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.642766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked No56c466.34$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.032437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes36c433$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.881,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes36c433$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.882,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c406.71$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.088,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked No49c396$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.043366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed No50c392.3$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.158755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No63c389.93$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2710426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes11c328.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9915625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No62c325.2$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.589454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.143759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No52c315.42$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0131136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cda…1397backed Yes35c285.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006642.4%28 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes37c274.52$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5766837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x230d…7967backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No52c261.39$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6716449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes26c261.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8822145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes15c257.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.982434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked No50c244.42$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.211353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c215$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.449535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes49c209.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.985220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x75fa…f90ebacked No62c207.69$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed No74c202.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162536%9 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes37c199.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.895129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No55c193.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes33c192.2$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.914841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes34c191.26$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.71,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7953…9fd1backed No60c188.88$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No60c183.84$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8126465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed No62c180.65$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.651560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Yes36c177.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd033…d4c6backed No62c171.68$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.951361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed No65c166.06$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.278858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa891…a1c1backed Yes43c160.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe07d…4ee1backed No50c156$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+102.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No61c147.33$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8432139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No62c129.57$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2360156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f0…7bf4backed Yes37c129.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes48c126.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5831349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No62c125.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7295155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.