South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1efef98871f5cc7acee0e92e08ff890ea5c6a9aa8abd1295c4dde30151a1c8d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 4,858$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 48c | 2,903$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.46 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,867$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.54 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 32c | 2,145$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.85 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,615$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 61c | 1,572$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.26 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 44c | 1,568$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.76 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 71c | 1,425$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.61 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…3ca8backed Yes | 39c | 1,407$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 1,222$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.92 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.05 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 68c | 909.99$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.04 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 36c | 844.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.86 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 759.14$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.17 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 70c | 714.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 69c | 688$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.72 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 62c | 646$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.52 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 62c | 641$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.42 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 637.22$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.57 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 37c | 546.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.93 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 73c | 486.78$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.24 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 392.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…2d5cbacked Yes | 27c | 333.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 333.34$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.67 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 59c | 322.62$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.17 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 68c | 306.88$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 67c | 303.03$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.03 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 11c | 241.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 215$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 50c | 213.3$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Yes | 75c | 203.63$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 38c | 186.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed No | 77c | 154.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 23c | 145.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 32c | 141$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 28c | 109.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 100.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c98…4c85backed No | 50c | 96.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 73c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 89.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Yes | 61c | 82.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…a0c1backed No | 69c | 81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Yes | 58c | 74.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 73.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 30c | 73.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 70.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 69.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 37c | 65.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…490bbacked No | 49c | 57.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 52.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…9204backed Yes | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 27c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 32c | 44.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 31c | 44.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 27c | 43.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…0124backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f5…e9abbacked Yes | 64c | 35.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…eceebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 68c | 27.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe198…8b53backed Yes | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…eb9dbacked Yes | 59c | 23.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 19.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 18.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-12?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.