South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23aa4e922ccc0642930956371570f7036e602e7253a8c051b390085ea717a8e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 33c | 32,588$10,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,908.91 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 13,606$9,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,342.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 26c | 11,359$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.87 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 66c | 10,661$7,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.57 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 76c | 8,412$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.75 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 7,263$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No | 76c | 6,654$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.01 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 6,614$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.21 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked No | 78c | 5,951$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.36 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 5,294$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 67c | 5,106$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.65 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 76c | 4,426$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.34 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 67c | 3,005$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.29 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 2,140$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.47 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,138$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.37 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 2,100$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.92 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,081$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.17 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 16c | 1,967$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.87 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 79c | 1,888$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.55 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 78c | 1,705$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.89 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 1,694$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.43 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 69c | 1,598$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.93 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 66c | 1,352$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.68 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 1,287$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.3 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Yes | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 35c | 1,011$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.77 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 68c | 999.05$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.7 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b828backed No | 78c | 879.45$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 22c | 815.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 80c | 757.79$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.65 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 21c | 748.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Yes | 33c | 744.36$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.64 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 36c | 700$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 635.39$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 66c | 619$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.39 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 66c | 595.92$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.61 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes | 30c | 555.86$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 554.87$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed No | 75c | 481.6$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed No | 69c | 473.91$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 32c | 465.63$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked No | 75c | 421.61$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 408.81$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 74c | 406.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.19 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 376.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 359.23$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 31c | 329.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…da8ebacked No | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 75c | 308.49$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 73c | 295$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 33c | 288.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 257.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 70c | 249.13$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 71c | 244.6$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 36c | 231.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Yes | 33c | 230.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 229$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed Yes | 30c | 212.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…771cbacked No | 39c | 205.04$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 33c | 185.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 184.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 181.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed Yes | 18c | 164.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Yes | 18c | 164.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed No | 69c | 159.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 19c | 158.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 64c | 158.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 33c | 151.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 69c | 149.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Yes | 32c | 144.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed No | 77c | 143$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 61c | 129.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 73c | 125.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 75c | 121.79$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ca…3797backed Yes | 17c | 117.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 31c | 116.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3d…df39backed Yes | 13c | 112.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 72c | 109.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 58c | 101.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…ff6ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Yes | 27c | 98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Yes | 20c | 97.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…490bbacked Yes | 25c | 96.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 67c | 93.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a2…b58ebacked Yes | 17c | 92.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Yes | 32c | 89.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-12?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-12?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.