TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,571
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,571 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under74c2,378$1,757 inWon+$620.554,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under75c1,137$853 inWon+$283.341,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Over26c1,133$295 inLost-$295.3422122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over26c923.63$241 inLost-$241.168831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over27c728.7$200 inLost-$20015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Over26c579.56$151 inLost-$150.6915440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over27c370$100 inLost-$99.95745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c294.46$218 inWon+$76.363,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e2…bd11backed Over25c250.16$63 inLost-$62.546439.1%25 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x80cd…0558backed Over25c203.84$50 inLost-$509318.3%17 W · 76 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under75c170.64$129 inWon+$41.882,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under74c168$124 inWon+$43.682,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under72c155.4$112 inWon+$43.5177845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under75c135.31$101 inWon+$33.943,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe71a…cdc1backed Over26c123.08$32 inLost-$3212828.9%37 W · 91 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-7.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over25c101.89$25 inLost-$25.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4940…85adbacked Over26c76.92$20 inLost-$203718.9%7 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under74c66.87$49 inWon+$17.392,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under72c62.79$45 inWon+$17.8243460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under76c50$38 inWon+$122,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over27c40.74$11 inLost-$1112028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under80c30$24 inWon+$62,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under75c20.99$16 inWon+$5.293,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ac…427fbacked Under79c19.59$15 inWon+$4.1122445.5%102 W · 122 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under75c15$11 inWon+$3.811,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Under74c15$11 inWon+$3.923866.8%159 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.