CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf66c18479aa87de59ae58eb8bdc7c41d949fd9720778d455976a55ca603d7b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Vitality, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spirit | 70c | 15,431$10,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.32 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Vitality | 12c | 10,969$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.19 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a9…dfd3backed Vitality | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit | 69c | 9,953$6,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.36 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vitality | 31c | 6,300$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vitality | 26c | 6,165$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.79 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Vitality | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Vitality | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.98 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Spirit | 79c | 4,774$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.26 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Spirit | 71c | 4,225$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.25 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Vitality | 18c | 4,009$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.24 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Vitality | 31c | 3,934$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Vitality | 29c | 3,078$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.49 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Vitality | 21c | 2,371$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.06 | 403 | 41.7%168 W · 235 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Vitality | 30c | 1,347$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed Vitality | 30c | 1,030$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.12 | 180 | 60.6%109 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Vitality | 30c | 1,019$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.64 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Vitality | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Spirit | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 305 | 59.3%181 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked Spirit | 71c | 841.54$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.54 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Vitality | 29c | 802.72$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.79 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Spirit | 78c | 799$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Vitality | 35c | 600$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 577 | 40.4%233 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed Vitality | 33c | 583.52$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.36 | 229 | 40.2%92 W · 137 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Vitality | 30c | 514.22$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Spirit | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 70c | 450.77$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…6a00backed Vitality | 30c | 393.73$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Vitality | 29c | 390.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…2302backed Spirit | 71c | 339.44$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Spirit | 69c | 326.52$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 394 | 54.3%214 W · 180 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Vitality | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 772 | 47.8%369 W · 403 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 29c | 286.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit | 67c | 273.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 735 | 53.5%393 W · 342 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Spirit | 71c | 270.49$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ee…c7dfbacked Vitality | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked Vitality | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Spirit | 71c | 246.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 178 | 64.6%115 W · 63 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Spirit | 67c | 246.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Vitality | 30c | 240.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Vitality | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Vitality | 30c | 217.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Vitality | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Vitality | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked Vitality | 30c | 189.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Vitality | 30c | 179.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Vitality | 30c | 163.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Vitality | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Vitality | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +12.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Spirit | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 324 | 61.4%199 W · 125 L | +23.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Spirit | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Spirit | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Spirit | 71c | 139.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 336 | 50%168 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked Spirit | 71c | 137.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Spirit | 70c | 135.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Spirit | 80c | 124.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Vitality | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Vitality | 30c | 110.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Vitality | 30c | 110.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 382 | 59.7%228 W · 154 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Vitality | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…568abacked Vitality | 31c | 95.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Vitality | 30c | 87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Spirit | 71c | 86.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Vitality | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked Vitality | 30c | 80.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Vitality | 37c | 78.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Vitality | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed Vitality | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Spirit | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vitality | 20c | 69.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…cd09backed Vitality | 30c | 68.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Vitality | 30c | 67.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 446 | 43.5%194 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Spirit | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 208 | 54.8%114 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…0440backed Vitality | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Vitality | 26c | 61.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 384 | 21.9%84 W · 300 L | -44.9wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Vitality | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…007bbacked Vitality | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vitality | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Vitality | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Vitality | 30c | 49.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Vitality | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Spirit | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 243 | 63%153 W · 90 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Vitality | 28c | 41.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 389 | 50.4%196 W · 193 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spirit | 67c | 41.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ba5fbacked Spirit | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…d489backed Vitality | 32c | 33.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…2d02backed Spirit | 71c | 31.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +123.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Spirit | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 687 | 49.6%341 W · 346 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Spirit | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 186 | 80.6%150 W · 36 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…e315backed Spirit | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed Spirit | 71c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758d…5d9ebacked Spirit | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Spirit | 71c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Vitality (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.