CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2da6fbf360900d76dcd6d12ef170d053b36e813c93f0aa21c131cc1dc89333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 46c | 2,697$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.46 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Over | 54c | 2,582$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.1 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Over | 79c | 239.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc918…7411backed Over | 54c | 180.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 135.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked Under | 33c | 131.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Over | 54c | 126.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…3f15backed Over | 53c | 108.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…4b20backed Over | 50c | 96.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Over | 50c | 91.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 73.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Under | 66c | 64.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -11.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Under | 45c | 57.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 46.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Over | 52c | 46.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 28c | 45.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Under | 47c | 42.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…bca1backed Over | 53c | 41.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2311…99ecbacked Under | 48c | 40.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…6b17backed Under | 61c | 36.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Over | 66c | 35.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 39c | 32.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 39c | 32.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Under | 47c | 30.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Under | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 66c | 15.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Vitality (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.