CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc306f1e66703bba2977be508ca724976642f0bd66ca5f6594b3eb57bddb2dc2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Vitality, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,221,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,336,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,221,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Spirit | 46c | 148,889$68,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,459.05 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vitality | 55c | 94,883$51,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,913.6 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Spirit | 45c | 85,579$38,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,287.35 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vitality | 41c | 52,900$21,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,825.34 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Vitality | 32c | 36,314$11,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,662.17 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Vitality | 55c | 28,502$15,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,676.1 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit | 66c | 23,595$15,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,982.13 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Vitality | 54c | 22,000$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,880 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Vitality | 28c | 19,117$5,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,285.49 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…b04cbacked Vitality | 55c | 16,100$8,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,855 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed Spirit | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Vitality | 14c | 14,019$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.79 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Spirit | 48c | 13,699$6,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,123.36 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Spirit | 48c | 13,212$6,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,870.24 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…1df3backed Spirit | 52c | 13,033$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,193.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Vitality | 54c | 12,776$6,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,898.86 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Vitality | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.97 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Spirit | 48c | 11,250$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Vitality | 50c | 11,242$5,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,620.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Vitality | 48c | 10,865$5,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.57 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Vitality | 55c | 10,706$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.3 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 68c | 10,142$6,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.82 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Vitality | 14c | 9,977$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.87 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…82d6backed Vitality | 54c | 9,200$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Spirit | 59c | 8,846$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,657.81 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spirit | 49c | 8,744$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.8 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed Vitality | 55c | 8,635$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.63 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Vitality | 6c | 8,339$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Spirit | 65c | 8,215$5,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.37 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…3735backed Vitality | 50c | 7,132$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Vitality | 33c | 6,666$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.56 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Vitality | 48c | 6,274$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Spirit | 70c | 6,046$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.36 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed Spirit | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Vitality | 15c | 5,979$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.39 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed Vitality | 54c | 5,700$3,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,077.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Spirit | 77c | 5,619$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.87 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Spirit | 76c | 5,506$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.66 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Vitality | 35c | 5,485$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.69 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Vitality | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.25 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Spirit | 50c | 5,004$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.02 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Vitality | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Spirit | 43c | 4,927$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Vitality | 54c | 4,266$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.78 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Spirit | 50c | 4,228$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.53 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Vitality | 41c | 4,128$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Vitality | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Vitality | 53c | 3,964$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.75 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Vitality | 54c | 3,947$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.47 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed Vitality | 54c | 3,850$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Vitality | 21c | 3,800$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…7677backed Spirit | 50c | 3,677$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vitality | 7c | 3,659$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Spirit | 48c | 3,646$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.83 | 270 | 41.1%111 W · 159 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Spirit | 45c | 3,601$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.01 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Vitality | 55c | 3,450$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.5 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Vitality | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…361fbacked Spirit | 48c | 3,209$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked Vitality | 55c | 3,151$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.05 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Spirit | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 236 | 58.5%138 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Vitality | 55c | 3,069$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688 | 200 | 41.5%83 W · 117 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Vitality | 51c | 3,050$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.89 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf444…8c90backed Spirit | 50c | 3,030$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Spirit | 50c | 2,773$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.17 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Vitality | 57c | 2,711$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.56 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…7400backed Vitality | 57c | 2,683$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Spirit | 51c | 2,626$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.82 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Vitality | 35c | 2,519$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.71 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Spirit | 48c | 2,509$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.51 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 53c | 2,380$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.5 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…8bd4backed Vitality | 55c | 2,360$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Vitality | 55c | 2,298$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Vitality | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.02 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality | 50c | 2,128$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…4d60backed Vitality | 43c | 2,104$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Spirit | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Vitality | 55c | 2,000$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.67 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Vitality | 26c | 1,991$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.35 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4adf…d623backed Spirit | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Spirit | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.98 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit | 48c | 1,746$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.05 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Spirit | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Spirit | 46c | 1,627$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.87 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Vitality | 54c | 1,600$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Vitality | 56c | 1,595$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.94 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Spirit | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 72c | 1,447$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.14 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…82babacked Spirit | 60c | 1,432$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.49 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Spirit | 48c | 1,425$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.79 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…f899backed Spirit | 62c | 1,404$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.45 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed Spirit | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.64 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Spirit | 46c | 1,363$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.04 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Spirit | 48c | 1,362$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.24 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…b18ebacked Spirit | 49c | 1,321$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit | 70c | 1,206$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.58 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Spirit | 55c | 1,154$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.34 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Spirit | 51c | 1,149$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.81 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 60c | 1,055$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.46 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8b…2bacbacked Vitality | 44c | 1,025$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Vitality | 48c | 1,020$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.59 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)Spirit won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Vitality (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.