Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Andrey Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcceec6528fea29ffcf9eb0df9cfdef5871e1e4b7b348fafca53a87952cdf2e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Marozsan, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Marozsan | 31c | 36,804$11,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,548.96 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Rublev | 59c | 24,293$14,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,960.31 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Marozsan | 41c | 21,406$8,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,877.51 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Rublev | 61c | 18,103$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,103.3 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rublev | 63c | 10,982$6,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.81 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marozsan | 16c | 9,079$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Marozsan | 41c | 7,708$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.39 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Marozsan | 33c | 7,393$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.82 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rublev | 58c | 6,736$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.08 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marozsan | 28c | 5,095$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.47 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Rublev | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Rublev | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Marozsan | 41c | 4,972$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.58 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Marozsan | 29c | 4,843$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.04 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Marozsan | 40c | 3,691$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.4 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Rublev | 75c | 3,491$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.84 | 257 | 64.6%166 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Marozsan | 41c | 3,122$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rublev | 59c | 2,841$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.32 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Marozsan | 40c | 2,824$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.92 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Marozsan | 40c | 2,718$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.17 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Marozsan | 39c | 2,563$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.82 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Marozsan | 41c | 2,434$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.98 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Marozsan | 2c | 2,377$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Rublev | 60c | 2,273$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.6 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Marozsan | 40c | 2,187$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.92 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rublev | 60c | 2,083$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.33 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Rublev | 59c | 1,958$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.13 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Marozsan | 37c | 1,687$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.29 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Marozsan | 40c | 1,652$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.79 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Rublev | 61c | 1,643$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.59 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Rublev | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Rublev | 59c | 1,500$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rublev | 66c | 1,287$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.96 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Marozsan | 16c | 1,116$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Rublev | 60c | 1,057$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.67 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marozsan | 40c | 1,034$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Rublev | 59c | 1,020$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Rublev | 61c | 900.5$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.5 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rublev | 59c | 900$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Rublev | 58c | 858.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.95 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Marozsan | 41c | 788.27$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.19 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Marozsan | 39c | 761.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Rublev | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rublev | 59c | 733.14$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.59 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Marozsan | 29c | 664.07$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Marozsan | 41c | 643.21$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.34 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Marozsan | 37c | 607.77$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.09 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Rublev | 61c | 577.34$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.34 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Rublev | 60c | 576.58$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Rublev | 59c | 544.32$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.17 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Rublev | 74c | 538.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rublev | 60c | 529.03$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marozsan | 39c | 518.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.01 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0505…db98backed Rublev | 59c | 507.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Marozsan | 2c | 506.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Rublev | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…97d3backed Rublev | 60c | 498.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Rublev | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Rublev | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Marozsan | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Rublev | 60c | 423.68$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Rublev | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Rublev | 68c | 397.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.97 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Marozsan | 41c | 365.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Marozsan | 39c | 346.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Marozsan | 41c | 341.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Rublev | 61c | 329.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Rublev | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Rublev | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rublev | 60c | 303.01$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…b81ebacked Rublev | 60c | 300$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Rublev | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Marozsan | 10c | 298.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Marozsan | 41c | 287.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…3929backed Rublev | 61c | 279$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Rublev | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Marozsan | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Rublev | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Marozsan | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Marozsan | 41c | 244.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Rublev | 60c | 243.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Marozsan | 40c | 232.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…cbe2backed Rublev | 59c | 224.15$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Marozsan | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb5…86f5backed Marozsan | 40c | 204$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Rublev | 61c | 202.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Rublev | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Rublev | 63c | 200.48$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed Rublev | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Rublev | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Marozsan | 28c | 199.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Rublev | 59c | 194$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Rublev | 75c | 173.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Rublev | 61c | 170.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Marozsan | 33c | 168.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Rublev | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…0518backed Marozsan | 41c | 164.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Rublev | 61c | 162.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…88e2backed Rublev | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b7…748fbacked Rublev | 60c | 155.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Andrey Rublevthis page
- Marozsan vs. Rublev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Marozsan vs RublevRublev won
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)Rublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.