TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdf37…cbe2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 61 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+47.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.02
Dubai Tennis Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$96.39
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Coleman Wongbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$96.26
Mexican Open: Patrick Kypson vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
New Delhi: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Rio Noguchibacked Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.43
Rio Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passarobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$56.04
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$89.99
Rio Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$117.66
Delray Beach Open: Terence Atmane vs Flavio Cobollibacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$54.16
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Ealabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+316.7%+$316.67
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertensbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+210.2%+$322.69
Qatar Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$91.9
Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$91.71
Rio Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Francisco Comesanabacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.9%+$31.86
Carabelli vs. Burruchaga: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$20.99
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Barrios (+1.5)backed Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$40.46
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.42
Argentina Open: Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$45.38
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$96.99
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+81.7%+$18.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+150%+$69.77
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$19.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$61.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.