Tennis · resolved market
New Delhi: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Rio Noguchi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f8b41a1367006d41ddd8b1961b8dbc243085927a5b832e254ac03b4d4f632ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noguchiof Kuzmanov, Noguchi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kuzmanov | 26c | 2,696$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.36 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Noguchi | 80c | 1,467$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.93 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kuzmanov | 17c | 1,091$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Noguchi | 63c | 904.54$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.68 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Kuzmanov | 30c | 614.39$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Noguchi | 69c | 532.88$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Kuzmanov | 35c | 474.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4d66backed Noguchi | 74c | 449.2$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Kuzmanov | 33c | 430.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kuzmanov | 16c | 232.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kuzmanov | 54c | 220.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.93 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Noguchi | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kuzmanov | 30c | 185.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Noguchi | 71c | 182$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Noguchi | 70c | 165$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Noguchi | 77c | 152.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Noguchi | 47c | 146.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Noguchi | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kuzmanov | 23c | 123$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Noguchi | 46c | 121.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…cbe2backed Kuzmanov | 28c | 107.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Noguchi | 59c | 105.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Kuzmanov | 57c | 88.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kuzmanov | 25c | 71.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Kuzmanov | 15c | 71.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Noguchi | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Kuzmanov | 50c | 63.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…24c0backed Kuzmanov | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Kuzmanov | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Noguchi | 70c | 45.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Noguchi | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kuzmanov | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kuzmanov | 53c | 28.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Noguchi | 45c | 25.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Noguchi | 72c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…0d2abacked Noguchi | 72c | 18.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Delhi: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Rio Noguchithis page
- Kuzmanov vs. Noguchi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.