TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rio Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cerundoloof Hanfmann, Cerundolo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$361,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$434,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x241f…ef50backed Cerundolo51c28,100$14,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,7681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea8e…3de0backed Hanfmann49c28,000$13,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,72010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Hanfmann49c24,642$12,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,074.566552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hanfmann41c21,144$8,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,604.787,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Cerundolo51c19,319$9,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,466.2415952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Cerundolo48c15,550$7,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,145.4555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hanfmann55c13,835$7,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,557.9911,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Cerundolo44c10,395$4,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,853.5119134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Hanfmann49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cerundolo60c9,158$5,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.462,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Cerundolo51c8,716$4,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,270.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac0…9d95backed Cerundolo54c8,694$4,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hanfmann32c8,250$2,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.218,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Hanfmann50c7,109$3,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.6110541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Hanfmann48c6,454$3,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.3181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cerundolo58c5,575$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.482,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Cerundolo73c4,236$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.366331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Hanfmann48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011838.1%45 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Hanfmann51c4,100$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.23834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cerundolo61c4,087$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.543,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hanfmann48c4,083$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.3876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Cerundolo55c3,975$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.9297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Cerundolo54c3,784$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.211,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hanfmann26c3,768$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.26,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Cerundolo80c3,655$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.295563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Cerundolo59c3,037$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.3928444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Cerundolo51c2,709$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.6811560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Cerundolo51c2,568$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.3294355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Hanfmann29c2,466$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.8752037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Cerundolo58c2,254$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.31,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Hanfmann1c2,200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Cerundolo76c2,005$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.7321147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hanfmann29c1,759$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.1165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Hanfmann24c1,696$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.8116648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Cerundolo73c1,622$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8942042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Hanfmann43c1,551$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.512,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cerundolo50c1,519$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.331,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33d…2a72backed Cerundolo52c1,499$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.481973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1fd…abf9backed Hanfmann55c1,320$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.28762.1%54 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Hanfmann46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60054450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Cerundolo67c1,299$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0122634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Hanfmann50c1,230$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6156350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Hanfmann27c1,204$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32558859%347 W · 241 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Cerundolo45c1,049$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.899530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Hanfmann50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Cerundolo50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50010547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ec…b81ebacked Hanfmann56c1,000$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.796259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Cerundolo66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34024060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Cerundolo77c975.48$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3622553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Hanfmann49c949.99$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.491,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hanfmann45c925.31$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.641,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Hanfmann57c914.04$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52130241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cerundolo50c883.73$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.877,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1909…a2c9backed Hanfmann58c861.42$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005362.3%33 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Hanfmann49c820$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.811843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Cerundolo69c703.55$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.552,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Hanfmann11c697.36$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Cerundolo46c650$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9518936%68 W · 121 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Cerundolo50c628.66$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.7853058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Cerundolo55c627.67$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3819938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cerundolo74c615$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.124,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Hanfmann56c567.15$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.310348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Hanfmann51c526.04$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.71,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Hanfmann43c506.07$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.192,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Hanfmann60c503.07$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020848.1%100 W · 108 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Cerundolo45c501$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.664855.2%358 W · 290 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Hanfmann63c489.24$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30918663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0a…ac86backed Hanfmann59c486.61$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cerundolo43c484.14$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.7643042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Cerundolo42c478.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.4230741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Cerundolo47c474.34$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.6421957.1%125 W · 94 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Cerundolo44c456.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5438739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Cerundolo53c426.42$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4216665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x170f…790bbacked Hanfmann3c424.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a44…8465backed Cerundolo51c423.53$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.531861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Cerundolo48c417.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.788450%42 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Hanfmann24c411.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc9f…3314backed Cerundolo49c402.64$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.155438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Hanfmann36c394$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.566,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Cerundolo76c391.18$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1850364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Hanfmann9c389.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.02425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Cerundolo52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6265651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Hanfmann57c378.65$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.453729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Hanfmann6c378.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.244422.7%10 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-30.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Hanfmann58c373.21$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8923429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Cerundolo43c362.79$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7999139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Hanfmann9c324.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2812313.8%17 W · 106 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Hanfmann37c324.38$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2161953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cerundolo50c312$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.092,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Cerundolo50c310.11$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1969051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Hanfmann46c304.92$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.992,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Cerundolo51c300$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14817840.4%72 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Hanfmann46c293.48$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Cerundolo52c283.46$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0620552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Hanfmann56c266.36$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1612951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Hanfmann44c264.88$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.484,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb20e…09c1backed Cerundolo38c263.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.682040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Hanfmann45c261.51$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6822747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Cerundolo50c251.82$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8214639%57 W · 89 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cerundolo50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.