Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x477160e9089429411cb54691b7f300d32b766bc047e9f24dc74d9dedc91e26dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof TEAM VISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 6,015$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.74 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Team Spirit | 62c | 4,600$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed TEAM VISION | 35c | 4,404$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.83 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 3,442$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.93 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked TEAM VISION | 48c | 3,019$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.84 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked TEAM VISION | 38c | 2,555$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,630$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.88 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TEAM VISION | 37c | 886.81$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.11 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TEAM VISION | 38c | 859.66$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed TEAM VISION | 39c | 826.51$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.39 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed TEAM VISION | 40c | 727.71$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 603.17$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.17 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked TEAM VISION | 42c | 597.65$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.39 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 508.2$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed TEAM VISION | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Spirit | 61c | 494.99$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.05 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed TEAM VISION | 40c | 485$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked TEAM VISION | 39c | 474.13$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed TEAM VISION | 39c | 464.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Spirit | 62c | 421.38$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.16 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed TEAM VISION | 40c | 372.68$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.65 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked TEAM VISION | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Spirit | 61c | 290.48$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Spirit | 61c | 289.67$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 277.25$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…6380backed TEAM VISION | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…665cbacked TEAM VISION | 40c | 251.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Spirit | 57c | 250$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed Team Spirit | 63c | 236.65$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 162.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Team Spirit | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…3eb7backed Team Spirit | 62c | 160.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Team Spirit | 61c | 136.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.26 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…480abacked TEAM VISION | 40c | 129.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked TEAM VISION | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked TEAM VISION | 39c | 105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed TEAM VISION | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked TEAM VISION | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed TEAM VISION | 39c | 94.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed TEAM VISION | 40c | 87.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked TEAM VISION | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked TEAM VISION | 43c | 72.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed TEAM VISION | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…0440backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…c6dabacked Team Spirit | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Team Spirit | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked TEAM VISION | 32c | 49.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Spirit | 62c | 46.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…a4d3backed Team Spirit | 52c | 45.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team Spirit | 61c | 41.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Team Spirit | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…5026backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed Team Spirit | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…3e39backed Team Spirit | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…c2bebacked TEAM VISION | 40c | 37.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…30cebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 32.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 32.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efc…99e0backed Team Spirit | 63c | 30.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…2f40backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 30.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c807backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked Team Spirit | 62c | 20.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Team Spirit | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Spirit | 65c | 16.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.