TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,676 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under16c25,200$4,088 inLost-$4,0884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under1c25,000$250 inLost-$25024533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Under15c17,506$2,626 inLost-$2,625.886114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under1c15,656$220 inLost-$219.6141331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over79c6,347$5,000 inWon+$1,347.430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under16c5,350$856 inLost-$856.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under30c3,334$1,000 inLost-$1,00013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under21c2,588$545 inLost-$544.72,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under2c2,500$50 inLost-$508615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over70c2,374$1,662 inWon+$712.13,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under25c1,200$300 inLost-$3004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under17c728.91$126 inLost-$126.021,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over75c700$525 inWon+$1754376.7%33 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under20c365.7$73 inLost-$73.1470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over71c271.52$191 inWon+$80.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under18c261.13$47 inLost-$47.323,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under16c238.3$39 inLost-$38.761,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Under17c228.74$39 inLost-$38.8816052.5%84 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under16c227.74$36 inLost-$36.51,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x597b…9ea8backed Over75c200$150 inWon+$504839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under6c177$11 inLost-$10.881,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under17c176.47$30 inLost-$3029529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under17c163$28 inLost-$27.7126631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Over77c102.6$79 inWon+$23.617735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under15c99.99$15 inLost-$151,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over74c93.75$69 inWon+$24.3717659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6e08…d327backed Under17c87.35$15 inLost-$14.851435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x869b…bb89backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon+$14.941978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under17c62.81$11 inLost-$10.681,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over75c50$38 inWon+$12.520651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6b…4805backed Over77c38.96$30 inWon+$8.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Over73c20$15 inWon+$5.424136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over75c15$11 inWon+$3.7522258.6%130 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x404a…19b2backed Over80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.525754.5%140 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.