TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Uruguayof Spain, Uruguay
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,865
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,865 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Spain3c49,071$1,713 inLost-$1,713.032,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Spain5c18,509$1,000 inLost-$1,0009823.5%23 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain6c10,000$600 inLost-$60025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Spain9c2,367$203 inLost-$203.272025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Spain5c1,266$63 inLost-$63.281,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spain6c1,250$75 inLost-$75.413,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Spain8c1,015$76 inLost-$76.214235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Spain2c916.66$15 inLost-$1510544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Spain4c621$26 inLost-$25.5968.3%8 W · 88 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Spain5c600$30 inLost-$3047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Spain6c500$30 inLost-$3026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Spain6c416.83$25 inLost-$2519436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…913bbacked Spain6c407.21$26 inLost-$267412.2%9 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spain6c382.57$22 inLost-$21.732,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Spain6c312.94$19 inLost-$18.7873234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3162…087bbacked Spain7c311.51$20 inLost-$20.32733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7906…cfe0backed Spain6c250$15 inLost-$157015.7%11 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+75.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Spain6c250$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7572…6156backed Spain6c243.33$15 inLost-$14.6385.3%2 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe86e…e26ebacked Spain6c200$12 inLost-$11.8300%0 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.