Movies · resolved market
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f8dccb221e47dec661176b6e1f42036152a4bcd8f378d07e3972d8df8eb1fef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 12c | 7,865$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.36 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 17c | 7,420$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 22c | 5,883$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.9 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 72c | 5,843$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.52 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 25c | 5,802$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.81 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 4c | 5,771$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.11 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 2c | 5,330$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked Yes | 17c | 5,176$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 21c | 4,596$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.8 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked No | 74c | 4,154$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.55 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed Yes | 18c | 4,143$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.63 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…c356backed Yes | 12c | 3,656$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -66%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 27c | 3,521$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.88 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…d5c3backed Yes | 11c | 3,352$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…c539backed Yes | 10c | 3,029$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 24c | 3,011$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.28 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed Yes | 27c | 2,933$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.51 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 14c | 2,796$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.87 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 27c | 2,499$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.67 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 10c | 2,498$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 18c | 2,160$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.47 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d5c6backed Yes | 1c | 2,158$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,096$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 1,922$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.67 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked Yes | 9c | 1,805$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…45aabacked Yes | 10c | 1,782$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…7fa8backed Yes | 13c | 1,736$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked No | 72c | 1,633$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bb…a9f7backed No | 77c | 1,539$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.41 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…446dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,537$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…4c49backed Yes | 9c | 1,303$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 24c | 1,271$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…abcfbacked No | 79c | 1,261$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 25c | 1,250$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 1,227$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.53 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 1,129$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…9a0abacked Yes | 10c | 1,116$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 22c | 1,097$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.48 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a803backed Yes | 15c | 999.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 19c | 909.47$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…bfb3backed Yes | 31c | 877.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 14c | 817.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 26c | 810$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 68c | 757.15$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 22c | 728.08$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 23c | 720.08$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 26c | 697.11$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.97 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 29c | 604.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 17c | 569.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked No | 71c | 563.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85dc…7ebfbacked Yes | 21c | 560$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 31c | 550$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 19c | 549.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 30c | 544.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 527.07$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.65 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…1e56backed Yes | 7c | 484.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 80c | 478$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 6c | 465.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 80c | 463$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 439.18$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…629fbacked Yes | 8c | 434.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…e32abacked Yes | 24c | 417.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked Yes | 16c | 412.09$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba89…0fefbacked Yes | 32c | 400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 9c | 399.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 8c | 397$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 27c | 385.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…9d34backed Yes | 13c | 372.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 10c | 371.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 7c | 371.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 25c | 355$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 26c | 346$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 71c | 342.7$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…2a78backed Yes | 12c | 337.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 332.04$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…ad12backed Yes | 12c | 327.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 14c | 314.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed No | 67c | 309.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked No | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3ae7backed Yes | 17c | 285.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 283.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked Yes | 19c | 282.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…557bbacked Yes | 10c | 277.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…ec61backed Yes | 16c | 276.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked Yes | 26c | 269.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 25c | 262.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 16c | 260.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…92c6backed Yes | 12c | 258.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 30c | 257.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…cce8backed Yes | 10c | 249.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…763abacked Yes | 29c | 249.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?this page
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?No won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?Yes won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?No won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?No won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.