Movies · resolved market
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8466bad2bf94a605c9fb67f034472361ab2a2c8bcdad4538ca2e0d227dff09fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb94c…b5b5backed No | 70c | 15,515$10,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.32 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1679…7ae5backed Yes | 2c | 8,907$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,624$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…c356backed Yes | 2c | 4,487$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -66%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…3ae7backed Yes | 1c | 2,961$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 0c | 2,845$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1216…490abacked Yes | 1c | 2,595$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 29c | 2,152$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.45 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 2,070$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,916$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.26 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 8c | 1,875$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…b802backed Yes | 23c | 1,835$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…9a0abacked Yes | 2c | 1,733$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…9823backed Yes | 29c | 1,650$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 2c | 1,337$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 6c | 1,250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,204$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 9c | 1,182$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 2c | 1,162$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 5c | 1,094$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,027$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 75 | 8%6 W · 69 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 29c | 958$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 870.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes | 4c | 786.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 15c | 711.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…4e8bbacked Yes | 2c | 666.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 3c | 599.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 7c | 576.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…3091backed Yes | 30c | 568.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Yes | 30c | 527.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Yes | 30c | 506.55$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…4244backed Yes | 29c | 487$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 6c | 472.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 9c | 420$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 9c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…7b84backed Yes | 6c | 385$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…178bbacked Yes | 20c | 370$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 24c | 350.4$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 14c | 349.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 337.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 6c | 308.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 68c | 292.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c06…a2b8backed Yes | 10c | 289.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 69c | 273.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2724backed Yes | 30c | 261.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 239.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 9c | 220$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511e…cfadbacked Yes | 30c | 207.39$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 30c | 205$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…17d7backed Yes | 11c | 190.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes | 8c | 181.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 13c | 148.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 14c | 147.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 30c | 145$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x559c…1eb6backed Yes | 36c | 140.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…fb2bbacked Yes | 12c | 128.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 67c | 125.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…6783backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d561backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…4193backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…f0f0backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 13c | 89.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…a3ffbacked Yes | 30c | 78.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…a595backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…bb14backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…d220backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…c890backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…d15ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…72d0backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…d1d5backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?this page
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?No won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?Yes won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?No won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?No won
- Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 30m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.