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Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paris Saint-Germain FCof Liverpool FC, Paris Saint-Germain FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8ae5…4f22backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c14,953$11,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.124872.9%35 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Liverpool FC21c14,168$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.522,10143.6%917 W · 1,184 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC79c2,550$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.452941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Liverpool FC21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.938647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70c9…caf5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC80c1,235$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Liverpool FC10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c953.78$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.832568%17 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Liverpool FC13c953.08$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.95339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Liverpool FC21c773.33$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.275042%21 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liverpool FC19c751.68$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0663137.7%238 W · 393 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Liverpool FC20c646.77$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.41,14135.4%404 W · 737 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Liverpool FC21c615.65$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.297058.6%41 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Liverpool FC20c596.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1661741.5%256 W · 361 L-21.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd61…df4ebacked Liverpool FC22c542.37$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+36%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC80c530$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10610738.3%41 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Liverpool FC20c524.97$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1210852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Liverpool FC21c495.09$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.182240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f37…f96fbacked Liverpool FC21c485$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd4…ebc4backed Liverpool FC22c479.46$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.48560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Liverpool FC21c464.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.477652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC78c459.98$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.26553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Liverpool FC21c429.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.225653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Liverpool FC21c429.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.223565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Liverpool FC21c429.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.224450%22 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Liverpool FC21c429.62$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.225550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Liverpool FC22c346.62$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.261526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Liverpool FC13c287.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.739442.6%40 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c272.47$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.222356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x056f…e487backed Paris Saint-Germain FC78c253.03$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.671675%12 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.491258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38d8…6ef1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c249.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.491275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC80c247.12$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.521154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1034…ae8ebacked Liverpool FC21c241$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8969…2cabbacked Liverpool FC22c216.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.661910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed42…fa17backed Liverpool FC22c216.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Liverpool FC21c202.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.594445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dca…ce96backed Liverpool FC22c194.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.891963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Liverpool FC16c179.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2714220.4%29 W · 113 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb94…7bc0backed Liverpool FC20c163.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.72552%13 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Liverpool FC11c162.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.86310%0 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c1…ab1ebacked Liverpool FC22c155.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.141942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC80c154.38$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.882878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Liverpool FC19c152.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.988644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Liverpool FC19c152.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.982941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Liverpool FC19c152.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9810648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c145.63$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.568243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Liverpool FC16c143.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.791618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Liverpool FC22c140.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.894641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c137.49$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.877255.6%40 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6daa…25d2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC80c132.59$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bdf…5761backed Liverpool FC22c129.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Liverpool FC21c127.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7636744.4%163 W · 204 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.252263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC79c124.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.251866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Paris Saint-Germain FC80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Liverpool FC23c118.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.892657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c118.49$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.881553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick72cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Liverpool FC20c115.95$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.198751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd199…0d3bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC79c98.74$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c7…a5e3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c92.17$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+109.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bd4…6eafbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC78c92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.242454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Liverpool FC15c88.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.295034%17 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19a1…6aefbacked Liverpool FC22c77.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.161250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3416…0c7cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC79c77.85$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.35944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Liverpool FC17c67.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.755427.8%15 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x278f…5c17backed Liverpool FC22c64.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Liverpool FC18c64.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.881833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c63.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.273268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c62.49$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.121866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61bb…1627backed Paris Saint-Germain FC80c59.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.861392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick71cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe91c…317ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC79c55.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+36.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ee…0378backed Liverpool FC22c54.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc6…0f52backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c53.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.153070%21 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Liverpool FC22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC79c49.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54568.9%31 W · 14 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC79c49.7$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4411947.9%57 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC80c49.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.881376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a48…3e67backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c49.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe627…ac15backed Paris Saint-Germain FC80c49.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Liverpool FC22c47.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.495547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f95…96f9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC80c43.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.655100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC80c37.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.416666.7%44 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.252951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b01…619dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC79c20.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e4…cdc1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c19.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x670c…a7dfbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC79c19.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.154100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eaa…799abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC78c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d84…7b78backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abb…d57cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC79c18.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ef…81dabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC80c18.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC79c15.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.278853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14af…887ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC80c14.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.961978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.58868.2%60 W · 28 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick76cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.