TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b01…619d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$35.47
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$7.14
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$13.6
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.3
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$24.36
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$12.34
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 2 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)backed Levante UD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.