MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e160116f9b477daedb80a6eed9f7ce285f5eec4a97177c31c8c6a20661504eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 85,390$40,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,256.93 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 34,938$18,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,517.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 18,552$9,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,766.68 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 18,004$9,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,361.95 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 13,916$7,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,345.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 10,129$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.58 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 10,000$4,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.49 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 2c | 7,325$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 7,099$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 6,960$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.88 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 6,671$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.79 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 5,649$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.24 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 5,419$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.02 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 4,490$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.22 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 3,841$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.29 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 3,530$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 3,354$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 2,601$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,231$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.51 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 2,166$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,017$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.26 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…fa39backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 1,908$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,454$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.76 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 1,368$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.66 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,223$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.19 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 1,204$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 1,186$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,126$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.52 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…6e98backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,083$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,076$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…b936backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,076$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,076$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…19c0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,076$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,076$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.04 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 1,064$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.76 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,059$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.93 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f06…2281backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 893.52$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.96 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 837.43$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.47 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…7b04backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 824.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 706.26$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 578.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 472.73$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 468.13$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 460$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…7355backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 406.52$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 402.63$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.43 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 396$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 393$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 390$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 345.46$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 341.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 322.58$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 78cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 315.91$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.7 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 309.21$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 71c | 293$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 269.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 254.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 238.42$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 215.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 211.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 207.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 205.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.91 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 199$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 195.15$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…606dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 193.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 191$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 186.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 176$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…69ddbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 173.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 167.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-6.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.