MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ff35abbed399bcc2f5b18198647e34c14163f528a9e8a6f525d3ba697a9b56f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 54c | 91,000$49,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,860 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 68,389$36,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,571.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 46c | 26,666$12,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,266.36 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 46c | 9,973$4,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.58 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 5,956$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.53 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 5,645$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 3,182$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.12 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 47c | 2,737$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.57 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 47c | 2,737$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.57 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 55c | 2,729$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.94 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 55c | 1,500$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 45c | 1,405$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.25 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 1,404$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.8 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 46c | 1,333$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.33 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 54c | 1,174$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.29 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 47c | 1,033$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.28 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 47c | 1,032$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.95 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 1,017$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.31 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 12c | 925.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 54c | 922.96$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.56 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 47c | 868.78$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.33 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 780$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 55c | 647.17$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.1 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 47c | 619.09$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.97 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 47c | 609.16$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.43 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 395.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 348.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 301.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 47c | 282.23$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 49c | 226.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 225.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Under | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 24c | 221.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Over | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 181$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 53c | 166.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 47c | 149.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 45c | 124$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 39c | 111.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 53c | 91.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 86.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 45c | 79.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 54c | 79.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 47c | 74.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…3046backed Under | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 67.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 35c | 62.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 292 | 51%149 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 52c | 62.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Under | 47c | 61.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 45c | 61.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 47c | 53.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 46c | 52.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 23c | 50.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x317b…7ee2backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 55c | 48.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 47c | 47.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Under | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 63c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 77c | 35.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 44c | 34.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 61c | 34.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Under | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 396 | 52.8%209 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 47c | 31.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 65c | 29.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 47c | 28.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be8…26adbacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 13.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-6.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.