MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f3cc580f1c8652a781aaa7e4da2f1ac8c3304863abf6b4f2db55bb2e3b19eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $299,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 58,876$25,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,780.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 51,724$30,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,134.79 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 9,976$5,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,553.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 7,929$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.75 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 6,671$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,264.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 6,423$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.26 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…24adbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 5,384$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.62 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 5,030$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 4,388$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 3,369$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.82 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 40c | 3,245$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.31 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 3,153$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.29 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,856$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.49 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 19c | 2,693$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.3 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 2,487$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.1 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 2,119$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.64 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 2,038$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.24 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,951$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.13 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,875$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,788$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.31 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…1dd0backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,707$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,665$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.61 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,531$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.73 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 63c | 1,227$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…6754backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,067$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.18 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,037$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.82 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,005$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.73 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 904.39$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.3 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 678.57$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.48 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 624.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 603.3$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.87 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6738…c215backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 560.38$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 545.1$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.1 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 544.27$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.27 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 534.14$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.41 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 527.48$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 496$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.35 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 486.03$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.89 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 479.7$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 461$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.28 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 33c | 449.7$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 445.26$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.99 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 429.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.21 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 424.1$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.36 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Miami Marlins | 59c | 421.52$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Miami Marlins | 70c | 416$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 361.71$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 346.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.03 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 327.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.17 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 311.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 311.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.68 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 300.51$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 300.24$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 298.51$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 292.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 281.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked San Diego Padres | 47c | 268.01$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 261.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 258$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 250.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 248.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 244.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 238.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 232.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 229.93$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 223.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.32 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 218$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 210$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 201.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed San Diego Padres | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 182.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 180.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 179.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 155.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 147.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Miami Marlins | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 146.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.