MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3770c74203bf068373b041b119c28af255c0e253ab1dac9d1cf7a55a480b719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 55c | 139,799$76,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,836.61 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 45c | 52,637$23,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,950.6 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 45c | 39,542$17,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,747.97 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 42c | 15,421$6,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,527.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 14,451$6,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,910.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 11,940$6,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 9,061$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,933.03 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 45c | 5,474$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.61 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 45c | 3,556$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.56 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 3,398$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.08 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 45c | 2,668$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.3 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 2,536$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.44 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 2,385$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 2,048$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 45c | 1,591$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 1,495$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 45c | 1,136$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.99 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 45c | 1,077$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.13 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 66c | 1,051$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.34 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.46 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 990$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.73 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 864.73$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.23 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 45c | 850$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 663.39$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 66c | 655.74$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 46c | 600.01$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.01 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 48c | 546.52$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.55 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 500$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 47c | 372.35$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.16 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 45c | 348.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.85 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 66c | 337.62$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 57c | 304.64$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Over | 55c | 303.01$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 45c | 293$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 44c | 272.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 45c | 269.12$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 206.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 32c | 195.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 45c | 182$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 59c | 176.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 40c | 147.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 56c | 139.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 31c | 132.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 121.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 45c | 119.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 38c | 107.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 53c | 105.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 58c | 105$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 31c | 99.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Under | 54c | 98.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 56c | 97.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 66c | 97.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 39c | 91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 59c | 90.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 46c | 90.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 55c | 88.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 56c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 46c | 83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 65c | 81.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 45c | 79.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 45c | 72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 46c | 71.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 45c | 62.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 65c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 70c | 58.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 44c | 48.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Over | 55c | 47.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed Under | 45c | 46.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 54c | 42.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 42.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 70c | 41.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 45c | 40.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 45c | 39.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Under | 62c | 39.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 43c | 37.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 45c | 35.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 67c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 52c | 32.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 45c | 30.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…b7d4backed Over | 48c | 30.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 45c | 28.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 45c | 27.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 47c | 25.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed Under | 51c | 24.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami MarlinsSan Diego Padres won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.