Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16699510600ca89d83bb9e8dc640913d4a7bfb83073fbbc040776e2bdeb058ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leeds United FCof Chelsea FC, Leeds United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Leeds United FC | 73c | 5,614$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Chelsea FC | 26c | 3,675$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC | 35c | 2,448$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.07 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Chelsea FC | 26c | 1,781$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea FC | 32c | 1,385$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Chelsea FC | 36c | 870.4$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.1 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Leeds United FC | 69c | 752.46$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.62 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Leeds United FC | 76c | 648.42$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…40b0backed Leeds United FC | 77c | 493.26$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Leeds United FC | 66c | 368.09$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Chelsea FC | 43c | 269.53$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Chelsea FC | 26c | 257.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Chelsea FC | 38c | 256.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Chelsea FC | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Chelsea FC | 25c | 190.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Chelsea FC | 29c | 151.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leeds United FC | 59c | 142.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Chelsea FC | 44c | 131.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8d00backed Chelsea FC | 22c | 126.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…de96backed Leeds United FC | 78c | 125.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…dea5backed Chelsea FC | 33c | 124.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Leeds United FC | 42c | 119.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Chelsea FC | 26c | 110.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Chelsea FC | 26c | 105.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Chelsea FC | 45c | 103.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Chelsea FC | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Chelsea FC | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chelsea FC | 24c | 91.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Leeds United FC | 42c | 90.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chelsea FC | 30c | 79.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Chelsea FC | 22c | 76.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Chelsea FC | 35c | 70.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chelsea FC | 38c | 68.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…6ea7backed Chelsea FC | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Chelsea FC | 24c | 64.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Chelsea FC | 36c | 64.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Leeds United FC | 64c | 61.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Chelsea FC | 24c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Leeds United FC | 76c | 59.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Chelsea FC | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…5503backed Chelsea FC | 24c | 55.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Chelsea FC | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…cc21backed Chelsea FC | 25c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…e2a2backed Chelsea FC | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Leeds United FC | 76c | 41.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…619dbacked Leeds United FC | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Chelsea FC | 39c | 36.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chelsea FC | 33c | 35.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Leeds United FC | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Leeds United FC | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…66b7backed Leeds United FC | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Leeds United FC | 77c | 25.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked Leeds United FC | 77c | 20.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Leeds United FC | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Leeds United FC | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…bbb5backed Leeds United FC | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.