Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x451c060fd10ee160c6d19edea6fce1598ec1e2acfd22622f3a9aa3debf0b7372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 68c | 4,906$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.88 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 4,305$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Under | 72c | 2,059$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.48 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 1,927$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.88 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over | 31c | 1,393$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.9 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…fdadbacked Over | 25c | 764$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 699.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.15 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 22c | 681.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 68c | 664.97$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.69 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 32c | 610.6$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 69c | 362$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 362$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.22 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…ded8backed Under | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 27c | 266.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…958dbacked Under | 80c | 185.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 78c | 171.83$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 72c | 136.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…3f48backed Under | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 22c | 113.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 32c | 110.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 75c | 65.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Under | 70c | 49.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…5430backed Under | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 46.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…530dbacked Under | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…d1a5backed Under | 70c | 38.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Over | 50c | 38.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 69c | 37.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 56c | 36.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 70c | 36.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 69c | 30.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 30.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 77c | 29.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 73 | 69.9%51 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Chelsea FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.