TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadfa…324ebacked Under49c8,563$4,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,367.113348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c7,172$3,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,457.866,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Over51c5,824$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,970.0413155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Over51c3,397$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.5215255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…247dbacked Over65c3,018$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c2,398$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.924,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Over54c2,341$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.123941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under44c1,778$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.5713353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c1,503$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.052,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under45c1,458$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.7532037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over50c1,319$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.685048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over24c1,173$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.556317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over51c931.1$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.8614459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4002544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x740c…6d10backed Under77c742.66$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c723.19$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.8320054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over56c695.43$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.441942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over56c678.04$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.72755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Under48c677.31$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.067343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over51c666.1$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.717847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under48c626.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.791942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over26c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1564037.5%15 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over32c599.5$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.849724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over16c569.76$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1613721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over51c485.3$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.519235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over50c465.6$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over51c443.62$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.254852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.447440.5%30 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1946445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…ded8backed Under50c347.26$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.631656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec1…b73fbacked Over53c345.41$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.661145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over50c291$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4514351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over4c283.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3522644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under50c271$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.56160.7%37 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under35c232.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under38c230.02$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7818842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7521…9997backed Over50c221.19$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.751844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c217.43$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.311,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over43c215.98$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.262532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over51c211$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6113855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over47c205.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6711448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under49c204.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.325642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under47c204.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.591485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over58c199.7$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.41457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under70c182.37$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.712070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over40c175.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.392846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8337…9aacbacked Over56c174.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Over54c169.69$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2911636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over50c145.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7559645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under49c133.84$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.266241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda4…b658backed Over50c116.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under50c112.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.263259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+54.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Under63c111.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Over53c110.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.317055.7%39 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over42c109.77$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2141260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under46c104.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.219145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over53c99.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9919853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under50c97.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6531746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5314045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b06…2828backed Over54c91.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.594261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over54c90.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6121254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c86.55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2726444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over56c78.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.811752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over53c75.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.152560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Under45c75.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.375433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over52c74.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over24c71.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1811839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over49c68.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4722049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32a…efabbacked Under35c67.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.171369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under49c62.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6311248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x619e…0149backed Under50c61.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.952176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb09a…7fc7backed Under49c59.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87bb…a7ebbacked Under49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over50c58.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.120336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over53c55.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.385044%22 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over47c53.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3622057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over56c52.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3124052.9%127 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under46c51.14$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4428456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over50c49.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.633324.2%8 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-48.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2512945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.255334%18 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.279246.7%43 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2740841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.911,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under73c39.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6515858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbea…7777backed Under49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b35…7e1dbacked Over51c38.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd69c…a42fbacked Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…13c0backed Under43c38.63$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.479262%57 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under54c34.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7824557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over50c31.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.999355.9%52 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed Under47c31.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.711163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.