MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c07c35c757b0c163d0f9f4a4b99a28c65c36eabacd2f77ae87ed2e46f3a531

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Houston Astrosof Miami Marlins, Houston Astros
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $559,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $576,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,075 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros	52c	219,348$113,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105,980.66	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins	47c	48,759$22,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,771.17	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Miami Marlins	48c	40,000$19,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,199.95	260	54.2%141 W · 119 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins	49c	21,566$10,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,502.33	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Houston Astros	53c	21,000$11,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,869.87	176	52.8%93 W · 83 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Miami Marlins	48c	20,487$9,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,833.56	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins	48c	18,965$9,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,131.61	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins	55c	18,451$10,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,237.41	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Miami Marlins	49c	17,000$8,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,330	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Miami Marlins	39c	15,472$6,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,034.04	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+78.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Miami Marlins	59c	14,200$8,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,340	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Miami Marlins	48c	13,376$6,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,420.36	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins	31c	12,533$3,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,895.63	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Miami Marlins	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Houston Astros	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros	52c	8,107$4,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,899.41	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins	47c	8,096$3,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,792.68	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins	38c	6,656$2,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,533.35	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Houston Astros	61c	6,000$3,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,354.42	484	51%247 W · 237 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Miami Marlins	47c	5,816$2,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,756.14	167	47.9%80 W · 87 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Miami Marlins	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Miami Marlins	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	447	49.2%220 W · 227 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Miami Marlins	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,450	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Houston Astros	52c	4,333$2,253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,079.82	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins	48c	4,167$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins	48c	4,102$1,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985.97	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Miami Marlins	48c	4,088$1,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,962.24	107	48.6%52 W · 55 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked Houston Astros	54c	3,661$1,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680.93	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Miami Marlins	48c	2,916$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.68	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins	48c	2,727$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320.94	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Miami Marlins	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Miami Marlins	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225	457	48.6%222 W · 235 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ad…211bbacked Miami Marlins	49c	2,496$1,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,223.04	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Miami Marlins	1c	2,100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked Houston Astros	52c	2,053$1,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$985.54	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Miami Marlins	48c	2,048$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Houston Astros	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins	36c	1,827$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.15	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Houston Astros	52c	1,560$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.49	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9437…235ebacked Houston Astros	53c	1,414$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.71	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Miami Marlins	23c	1,408$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	98	28.6%28 W · 70 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins	38c	1,257$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.12	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Miami Marlins	48c	1,237$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.76	577	58.1%335 W · 242 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Miami Marlins	41c	1,220$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Houston Astros	63c	1,153$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.72	47	59.6%28 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins	48c	1,123$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.94	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Miami Marlins	49c	1,042$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.58	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins	48c	1,024$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.52	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f5…24adbacked Miami Marlins	51c	1,013$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.71	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-57%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Houston Astros	49c	1,010$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.23	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Houston Astros	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	328	50.3%165 W · 163 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Houston Astros	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	243	46.9%114 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Miami Marlins	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	346	50.9%176 W · 170 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins	40c	989.99$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.54	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Houston Astros	51c	980.36$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.37	349	42.7%149 W · 200 L	-19.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins	13c	979.41$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.38	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins	48c	975$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd898…20e7backed Miami Marlins	43c	879.16$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.04	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins	48c	868.23$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.37	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Houston Astros	58c	866.9$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.9	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked Houston Astros	51c	842$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Houston Astros	57c	842$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364.04	157	51.6%81 W · 76 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Miami Marlins	5c	825$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.29	120	24.2%29 W · 91 L	-11.8wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Miami Marlins	49c	816.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Miami Marlins	48c	800$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	124	48.4%60 W · 64 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39c2…dc0bbacked Houston Astros	57c	794.12$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.12	73	54.8%40 W · 33 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Houston Astros	63c	793.65$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.65	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf2…c73bbacked Houston Astros	51c	786.56$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.41	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Miami Marlins	56c	775.05$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.44	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Miami Marlins	50c	771.18$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.59	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Houston Astros	52c	767.44$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.37	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros	67c	747.4$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.81	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros	51c	691.02$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.44	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Miami Marlins	48c	657$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.36	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Houston Astros	62c	656.3$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.61	486	60.5%294 W · 192 L	+40.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Miami Marlins	48c	648$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.04	279	52%145 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Miami Marlins	58c	644.12$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.12	65	64.6%42 W · 23 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Miami Marlins	47c	638.3$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Miami Marlins	48c	636$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.28	287	53.3%153 W · 134 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Miami Marlins	48c	614.5$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.96	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros	58c	564.13$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.37	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins	48c	559.25$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.44	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros	51c	545$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.05	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb43f…ec95backed Houston Astros	51c	542.92$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.03	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Houston Astros	50c	530$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.3	340	45%153 W · 187 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Miami Marlins	8c	524.42$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.56	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Miami Marlins	45c	500.86$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+5.0wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Houston Astros	52c	500$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Miami Marlins	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed Houston Astros	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Houston Astros	54c	499.77$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.93	74	56.8%42 W · 32 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Astros	72c	498.16$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.54	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Miami Marlins	49c	485$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.45	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins	48c	484$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.32	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed Miami Marlins	3c	467.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins	46c	466.43$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.43	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins	24c	448.5$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.1	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Houston Astros	56c	446.43$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.43	179	51.4%92 W · 87 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosthis page
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Houston Astros won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event