Movies · resolved market
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b69d995101730f541059753d84a23ca3cd3416d8a89145cec76b851ca82f9f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 55c | 10,301$5,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,607.68 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 47c | 7,100$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.74 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 54c | 3,286$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.1 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…09f1backed Yes | 73c | 3,154$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7b8ebacked Yes | 31c | 2,889$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…9712backed Yes | 19c | 2,332$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.74 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 33c | 2,168$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.98 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…9fe6backed Yes | 59c | 2,142$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.46 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 1,751$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.76 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.69 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 49c | 1,584$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.13 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 1,537$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.85 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 1,524$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.35 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 34c | 1,478$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.09 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 80c | 1,347$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.93 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 45c | 1,238$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.63 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…62b2backed Yes | 51c | 1,197$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 60c | 1,196$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,021$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.48 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 42c | 1,019$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.83 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked No | 27c | 954.02$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +281%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked No | 59c | 939.89$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.88 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 859.71$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.72 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…11bdbacked No | 33c | 851.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…358abacked No | 25c | 839.57$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 28c | 803.54$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 800$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.4 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x516c…8bb5backed No | 14c | 800$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +604.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 31c | 763.07$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.03 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 31c | 680.62$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.3 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 56c | 658.68$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.09 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…a9efbacked Yes | 76c | 645$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked No | 68c | 628.07$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…0f96backed No | 53c | 600.06$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5603…7a24backed Yes | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 65c | 573.09$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…87cabacked No | 57c | 528.96$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 42c | 522.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.06 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 27c | 514.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed No | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Yes | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…8472backed No | 11c | 498.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +456.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 44c | 479.87$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.77 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked No | 42c | 461.55$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…2a44backed Yes | 76c | 445.24$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 14c | 434.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.18 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 20c | 431.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.99 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 40c | 418.65$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked No | 61c | 413.1$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.09 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 58c | 400$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e6…8e78backed Yes | 71c | 395.62$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.44 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…7e10backed Yes | 18c | 380$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 14c | 376.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 38c | 354.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.83 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc808…fffebacked No | 27c | 306.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 70c | 295.58$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed Yes | 66c | 286.58$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b3…cdfbbacked Yes | 70c | 283.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 49c | 270.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd7…2c2cbacked Yes | 38c | 264.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6cb5backed Yes | 51c | 257.84$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 35c | 250.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…f54ebacked Yes | 14c | 241.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaad…69ccbacked No | 49c | 238.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 42c | 235.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 234$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 26c | 222$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.38 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 32c | 220.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed Yes | 39c | 216.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed Yes | 14c | 202.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…10bebacked Yes | 70c | 201.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…b4bbbacked No | 26c | 200$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…4d33backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabd…0992backed No | 14c | 200$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +578.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbe…072ebacked No | 26c | 200$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 26c | 200$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed No | 15c | 200$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +417.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…3365backed No | 26c | 200$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48b…6c1ebacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ce…5c3dbacked Yes | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 40c | 197$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…e363backed No | 25c | 196.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 21c | 190.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 34c | 183.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Yes | 70c | 180.41$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 61c | 179.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…c72cbacked Yes | 56c | 176.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…e288backed Yes | 55c | 170$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 67c | 169.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…5ac8backed Yes | 51c | 167$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9214…a803backed Yes | 70c | 164.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…cf02backed Yes | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 63c | 154.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 12c | 150.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Yes | 13c | 148.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…56c4backed Yes | 14c | 146.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?this page
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 420m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 370m and 380m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 380m and 390m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 390m and 400m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 400m and 410m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 410m and 420m?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 350m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.