TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc6f…9a00

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.26
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$64.29
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$115.29
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$78.94
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.3
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
All 16 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+52.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+179.3%+$97.57
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$106.95
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.74
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$90.67
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+383.4%+$170.28
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$31.92
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.39
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-57.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+257.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.