TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$695,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,365 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes55c292,267$159,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,576.1515647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No46c220,330$100,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,712.095250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b71…afd3backed No48c154,254$73,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,285.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes55c150,000$81,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,199.939649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No45c40,276$18,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,123.841752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No45c37,848$17,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,043.8512451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes54c29,201$15,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,481.8647748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Yes55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7503100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c12,699$6,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,962.53,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes55c12,391$6,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,563.283056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes53c9,370$4,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,441.4725149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed No46c8,691$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes53c8,425$4,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,986.442646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c8,407$3,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.761,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No46c8,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.754035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No45c7,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1502751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c0…e892backed No45c6,563$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No46c6,522$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+50.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7008845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.992650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c4,675$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.1177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No45c4,000$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8105147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No46c3,745$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.842947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No45c3,609$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6241030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdd1…77f2backed No44c3,574$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5755054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No46c3,218$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.111233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No46c3,148$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes80c2,944$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.7419073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No44c2,864$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.012166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c2,307$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.1923643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No44c2,272$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6813347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes51c1,988$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.442536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes72c1,510$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.2929370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6755251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No45c1,490$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.6821547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes53c1,398$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.154843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes54c1,389$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.899151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No12c1,339$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.781,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes52c1,012$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.620648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No46c987.02$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.955251.9%27 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes59c840$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.6531834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked No46c710$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-76.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes51c670.3$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.921070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No18c635.57$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8141339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes54c630.94$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.221546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes55c610$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.848661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2646155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No44c528.15$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.417031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2254456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes50c493.62$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.181118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No39c481.32$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8626346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c452.55$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.519657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed No46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No45c399.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes55c385.63$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.043426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No44c376.52$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8721545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes54c372.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.29683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f48…cd03backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed No46c346.04$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.952147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Yes56c289$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No25c275.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes56c268.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No46c261.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed No46c259.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+46.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.963551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No45c249.91$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4655750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No45c245.83$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.672528%7 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No31c232.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.891,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c47…e9bebacked No32c230.26$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.24548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No45c225$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2514129.8%42 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No45c225$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.254656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed No46c223.51$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.311947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Yes55c218.46$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.461384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+53.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes52c218.18$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7315458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f64…4b91backed No46c217.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed No46c215.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.364259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed No46c205.15$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.822142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068b…2106backed Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9070%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68f…3211backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes57c184.66$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6913950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes54c184.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.554553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8210853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c4e…3131backed Yes55c181.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No12c174.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.721540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Yes52c170.25$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.032356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes52c158.36$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.527150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes53c154.06$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.498446.4%39 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.58653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.56256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.